Cameron most trusted on economy and crime, Miliband on NHS and social care. Farage takes second on immigration.

A new Ipsos MORI poll shows that David Cameron is seen as the most capable of the four party leaders, but also the most out of touch with ordinary people.

See the May Political Monitor here for voting intention and leader satisfaction

After the Queen’s Speech and recent debate on a possible referendum in Europe, a new Ipsos MORI poll shows that David Cameron has clear leads as most trusted on the economy, crime, and Europe, while Ed Miliband has clear leads on the NHS and social care.  Nigel Farage comes second to David Cameron on immigration, and third on Europe, while Nick Clegg has low ratings on most issues.  David Cameron is also seen as the most capable of the four party leaders, but also the most out of touch with ordinary people.

David Cameron has clear leads as the leader most trusted to deal with:
  • Managing the economy – 37% Cameron, 23% Miliband, 5% Clegg, 5% Farage
  • Crime & anti-social behaviour – 37% Cameron, 20% Miliband, 10% Farage, 6% Clegg
  • Europe – 30% Cameron, 22% Miliband, 17% Farage, 8% Clegg

Ed Miliband has clear leads as the leader most trusted to deal with:

  • The NHS – 35% Miliband, 25% Cameron, 9% Clegg, 5% Farage
  • Social care for the elderly and disabled – 36% Miliband, 21% Cameron, Clegg 12%, 5% Farage

It is much closer between David Cameron and Ed Milband on the benefits system (Cameron 32%, Miliband 28%), reducing unemployment (Cameron 29%, Miliband 31%) and pensions (Cameron 28%, Miliband 31%).  On immigration, Nigel Farage takes second place behind David Cameron (Cameron 28%, Farage 25%, Miliband 17%, Clegg 6%).  Nigel Farage’s next highest score is on Europe (17%) and crime (10%), but on all other issues he is picked by less than one in ten.  The only issue where Nick Clegg exceeds 10% is social care (12%). 

Four in ten Britons (38%) chose Mr Cameron as the most capable leader, with 20% choosing Ed Miliband, 6% Nigel Farage and 5% Nick Clegg. Mr Cameron was also seen as the best able to deal with the challenges of the 21st century: 33% compared to 23% saying Mr Miliband, 7% Nick Clegg and 8% Nigel Farage. The gap between Messrs Cameron and Miliband was narrower on which leader was seen as best understanding the problems facing Britain with 27% saying Mr Cameron and 23% Mr Miliband. 16% chose Mr Farage and 8% said Nick Clegg.

Around half of British adults (48%) see Mr Cameron as the most out of touch with ordinary people with Mr Miliband seen as the most out of touch by 15% and Messers Clegg and Farage both chosen by 10%.

The Coalition

Three years into the Coalition Government and the public is split on whether or not it is providing stable government with 45% saying it is, and 48% saying it is not. This does though represent a positive shift from July last year when only 39% said it was providing stable government. Linked to this, more people now think that the Coalition will last until 2015 than did last year, 55% believe it will compared to 38% who think it will not. This is an increase of 15 points from last July among those saying it will last.

However, only 28% think the Coalition is working as a united team, falling far below the expectations set immediately after the formation of the Coalition in 2010 when 63% expected them to work as a united team.

Similarly, the Coalition is falling behind early expectations on its management of the economic crisis. Just one in three people (32%) believe the Coalition is dealing with the economic crisis effectively and 61% think it is not. In May 2010 59% expected good management of the crisis from the Coalition.  However, in line with the increase in economic optimism we have also seen, this does represent a small increase in ratings of the Coalition on the economy since July last year of four points.

Head of Political Research at Ipsos MORI, Gideon Skinner, said:

With rising economic optimism, David Cameron's clear lead on the number one issue of the economy stands out (even though his party and the Coalition more broadly aren't free of challenges in this area), while Ed Miliband does best on Labour's traditional strengths in public services and unemployment.  Nigel Farage's top ratings are concentrated in the two issues of immigration and Europe - especially so among his own supporters.”

Technical details
Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,009 adults aged 18+ across Great Britain. Interviews were conducted by telephone 11-13 May 2013.  Data are weighted to match the profile of the population. 

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