Ipsos MORI Political Monitor March 2007

Ipsos MORI's March voting intention findings, carried out face-to-face between 9-15 March amongst 1,983 British adults aged 18+, show the Conservative Party eight points ahead of Labour amongst those who say they are absolutely certain to vote.

Ipsos MORI's March voting intention findings, carried out face-to-face between 9-15 March amongst 1,983 British adults aged 18+, show the Conservative Party eight points ahead of Labour amongst those who say they are absolutely certain to vote.

Topline Results

  • Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,983 adults aged 18+ at 163 sampling points across Great Britain.
  • Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 9-15 March 2007.
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
  • Full data tabulations (weighted and unweighted) are available upon request.

As we are still running methodological tests while merging the Ipsos and MORI field operations, we are not publishing a full Political Monitor in March, but to maintain the trend on voting intention, we are releasing the voting intention results from a parallel omnibus survey we run (Capibus, a face-to-face in-home survey). Question wording and weighting are identical to the Political Monitor voting intention surveys.

Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (944)

160 %
Conservative 41
Labour 33
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 17
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 3
UK Independence Party 1
Other 2
160
Lab lead (177%) -8
160
Would not vote *
Undecided 13
Refused 5

Voting -- all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (1,983)

160 %
Conservative 37
Labour 39
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 16
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 3
UK Independence Party 1
Other 1
160
Lab lead (177%) +2
160
Would not vote 8
Undecided 21
Refused 6

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 1,983 British adults 18+

160 %
10 -- absolutely certain to vote 49
9 7
8 8
7 6
6 5
5 8
4 2
3 2
2 2
1 -- absolutely certain not to vote 9
Don't know 2
Refused 0

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