Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May

Information on voting intention, satisfaction with party leaders, important issues facing Britain, economic optimism.

Topline Results

  • Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,984 adults aged 18+ at 202 sampling points across Great Britain.
  • Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 25-30 May 2006.
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population

Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,151)

  %
Conservative 41
Labour 31
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 18
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 3
UK Independence Party 2
Other 3
 
Lab lead (177%) -10
 
Would not vote 1
Undecided 8
Refused 2

Voting -- all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?Base: All naming a party (1,984)

  %
Conservative 36
Labour 34
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 20
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 3
UK Independence Party 1
Other 3
 
Lab lead (177%) -2
 
Would not vote 12
Undecided 10
Refused 2

Q3 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?Q4 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister?Q5 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Cameron is doing his job as leader of the Conservative Party?Q6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Sir Menzies Campbell is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats?Base: 962 British adults 18+

  Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Index
  % % % 177%
Government (Q3) 22 69 9 -47
Blair (Q4) 26 67 7 -41
Cameron (Q5) 33 27 40 +6
Campbell (Q6) 22 31 47 -9

Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous)Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous)Base: 962 British adults 18+

  Q7 Q7/8
  % %
Race relations/immigration/immigrants 23 41
National Health Service/Hospitals 10 38
Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism 16 36
Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism 12 27
Education/schools 7 25
Pensions/social security 4 20
Pollution/environment 6 12
Economy/economic situation 4 10
Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry 2 6
Poverty/inequality 2 5
Drug abuse 1 5
Housing 1 5
Morality/individual behaviour 1 5
Taxation * 5
Petrol prices/fuel * 4
Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution 1 3
Inflation/prices 1 3
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages 1 2
Local government/council tax * 2
Public services in general * 2
Transport/public transport * 2
Countryside/rural life * 1
Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament * 1
Bird flu/Flu pandemic * *
Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis * *
GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods * *
Pound/exchange rate/value of pound * *
Privatisation * *
Tsunami/South East Asia * *
AIDS 0 *
Animal welfare 0 *
Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform 0 *
Northern Ireland 0 0
Trade unions/strikes 0 0
Other 2 7
Don't know 3 2

Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months?Base: 962 British adults 18+

  %
Improve 11
Stay the same 43
Get worse 43
Don't know 4
Economic Optimism Index [EOI] -32

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?Base: 1,984 British adults 18+

  %
10 -- absolutely certain to vote 58
9 4
8 7
7 5
6 3
5 7
4 1
3 2
2 1
1 -- absolutely certain not to vote 10
Don't know 1
Refused *

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