Likelihood of Voting

How likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?

Likelihood of Voting

Q How likely is it that you will get along to vote in the General Election on May 3rd?

1979 Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote Don't know
  % % % % % %
2 April 1979 69 13 8 5 5 n/a
21-23 April 1979 65 14 12 4 4 n/a
2 May 1979* 74 10 7 3 5 n/a

Base: c. 1,000 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face
*Wording on 2 May: "...get along to vote in the General Election tomorrow?"

 

 
Q How likely is it that you will get along to vote in the General Election on 9 June?

1983 Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote Don't know
  % % % % % %
10 May 1983 73 12 6 5 4 n/a
12 May 1983 67 13 8 6 6 n/a
16 May 1983 65 16 8 5 5 n/a
2 June 1983 69 12 8 5 7 n/a
8 June 1983 78 8 5 4 5 n/a

Base: c. 1,000 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face

 

 
Q How likely are you to get along to vote on Thursday?

1987 Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote Don't know
  % % % % % %
9-10 June 1987 85 8 5 1 1 0

Base: 1,668 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face

 

 
Q From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election?

1992 Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote Don't know
  % % % % % %
11-12 March 1992 69 11 8 4 8 1
16 March 1992 67 12 8 5 7 1
23 March 1992 72 10 8 3 6 1
30 March 1992 71 11 7 3 7 1
7-8 April 1992* 82 8 5 2 3 1

Base: c. 1,000-1,750 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face
*Wording on 7-8 April "...get along to vote on Thursday?"

 

Q Can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election?

1996-7 Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote Don't know
  % % % % % %
September 1996 55 16 12 8 7 3
8-11 November 1996 57 15 11 7 9 1
24-28 January 1997 57 15 11 7 6 2
21-24 February 1997 61 16 9 7 6 2
21-24 March 1997 66 12 8 4 8 2
1 April 1997 63 12 12 5 6 2
8 April 1997 62 13 11 6 7 1
15 April 1997 64 13 12 4 6 2
22 April 1997 68 12 10 4 5 1
29 April 1997 71 10 8 3 6 2

Base: c. 1,000-2,000 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face

 

 
Q At the next election, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote?

1999 Certain to vote Very likely to vote Fairly likely to vote Not very likely to vote Not at all likely to vote Certain not to vote Don't know
  % % % % % % %
20-23 August 1999 44 21 13 5 3 10 3

Base: 1,862 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face

 

 
Q Can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote at the next Election?

2000-1 Certain to vote Very likely to vote Quite likely to vote Not very likely to vote Certain not to vote Don't know
  % % % % % %
23-28 March 2000 49 17 13 9 9 3
17-21 August 2000 59 11 10 8 8 3
18-22 January 2001 48 16 11 9 12 4
15-20 February 2001 50 17 11 7 12 3
22-27 March 2001 49 17 13 7 12 2
30-31 March 2001 49 17 13 8 11 2
29 March-3 April 2001 49 18 11 9 10 2
19-24 April 2001 50 16 12 10 9 3
30 April-1 May 2001†§ 55 16 10 7 10 2
8 May 2001 46 19 15 8 11 2
10-12 May 2001†* 60 13 10 5 11 1
10-14 May 2001* 52 17 13 6 10 2
9-15 May 2001† 62 13 12 6 5 2
15 May 2001 53 17 13 7 9 2
22 May 2001 52 17 16 7 7 1
29 May 2001 54 17 13 6 8 2
24-30 May 2001 57 13 12 7 9 2
31 May-1 June 2001‡† 63 15 10 5 6 1
31 May-5 June 2001 60 12 10 6 11 1
4-5 June 2001†* 64 12 10 4 9 1
5 June 2001** 63 13 11 4 8 1

Base: c. 1,000-2,000 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face, except † (interviewed by telephone)
*Asked as "...get along to vote in the General Election?"
**Asked as "...get along to vote in the General Election on Thursday?"
‡Asked as "How likely are you to vote at the General Election on June 7?"

Asked as "Can you tell me how likely you are to vote at the General Election?"
§ Asked as "If the election were held this Thursday, how likely would you have been to vote in the General Election?‡"


Q How likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?

2002-5 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Don't know Refused
  % % % % % % % % % % % %
November 2002 50 5 9 6 3 8 3 3 2 11    
December 2002 52 7 8 5 4 7 2 3 2 11    
23-27 January 2003 51 6 8 3 3 8 2 4 2 12    
20-25 February 2003 51 5 8 4 2 8 2 3 2 11 2 *
20-24 March 2003 50 5 7 5 3 8 2 3 2 11 2  
24-28 April 2003 54 5 7 5 3 8 2 3 1 11 2  
22-28 May 2003 53 5 7 5 3 9 1 3 2 11 1  
19-24 June 2003 50 6 8 4 4 8 2 4 2 11 2  
17-22 July 2003 51 5 7 5 4 8 2 4 2 11 2  
28 August-2 September 2003 52 6 6 5 3 9 3 3 2 10 2  
11-16 September 2003 53 6 7 3 3 8 3 3 2 11 1  
23-28 October 2003 50 7 7 4 3 8 2 3 2 11 2 *
20-25 November 2003 49 7 8 5 4 7 2 2 2 10 2 *
11-17 December 2003 51 6 8 5 3 7 2 2 2 11 2 *
15-20 January 2004 52 7 7 5 4 7 2 2 3 10 2 *
12-16 February 2004 52 5 6 5 3 8 2 3 2 11 2 *
11-16 March 2004 52 6 8 4 3 8 2 3 2 10 2 *
15-19 April 2004 53 5 7 4 4 8 1 2 2 12 2 *
27 May-1 June 2004 57 5 7 5 3 6 1 2 2 9 2 *
24-29 June 2004 52 6 8 5 2 7 2 2 2 11 2 *
24-29 July 2004 52 6 7 4 3 7 2 3 2 11 2 *
12-16 August 2004 51 6 7 5 2 8 2 2 2 11 2 *
10-14 September 2004 50 6 8 5 4 7 2 3 2 11 2 *
21-27 October 2004 50 6 7 4 3 6 2 3 2 12 2 -
4-8 November 2004 51 7 8 4 5 6 2 3 2 10 2 -
2-6 December 2004 52 6 8 5 3 7 2 3 2 11 1 0
20-24 January 2005 51 6 8 5 4 6 2 3 2 10 2 0
17-21 February 2005 53 6 8 4 3 7 2 3 3 9 2 0
17-22 March 2005 56 6 8 5 3 7 2 2 2 7 1 0
1-3 April 2005† 55 6 9 5 3 7 2 2 2 8 1 *
7-9 April 2005†* 61 5 7 4 2 6 1 2 1 8 1 *
7-11 April 2005* 58 6 8 4 3 6 2 2 2 8 - 1
15-18 April 2005†* 59 5 7 5 3 7 1 2 1 9 - 1
18-19 April 2005†* 59 7 8 5 3 6 1 1 1 7 * 1
21-25 April 2005* 61 6 7 4 2 6 1 1 1 9 1
28-29 April 2005†* 63 5 8 5 2 5 1 1 1 9 0 *
29 April-1 May 2005†* 64 6 7 4 2 5 2 2 1 7 1 *
3-4 May 2005†* 70 6 5 3 1 4 1 1 * 6 1 *

Base: c. 1,000-2,000 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face, except † (interviewed by telephone)
*Wording from 7 April: "Q And how likely will you be to vote in the General Election..."

 

Q How likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?

2005-10 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Don't know Refused
  % % % % % % % % % % % %
19-23 May 2005 62 6 6 3 2 6 1 2 1 9 2 0
16-20 June 2005 60 6 7 3 2 6 1 2 1 10 1 0
14-18 July 2005 59 6 6 4 4 7 1 2 2 9 1 0
11-15 August 2005 57 6 6 3 4 7 1 2 2 10 2 0
22-26 September 2005 60 5 6 4 3 6 1 2 2 9 1 *
20-25 October 2005 59 5 7 4 3 5 2 2 2 10 2 *
17-22 November 2005 58 6 7 4 3 6 2 2 2 10 1 *
9-12 December 2005† 53 6 9 4 3 7 3 2 1 11 1 *
19-23 January 2006 56 6 7 4 2 8 2 2 2 9 2 *
16-20 February 2006 58 6 7 4 3 6 2 2 2 10 1 0
16-21 March 2006 60 5 7 4 3 6 1 2 1 9 2 0
27 April-2 May 2006 58 7 7 3 3 6 2 1 2 10 2 *
25-30 May 2006 58 4 7 5 3 7 1 2 1 10 1 *
22-26 June 2006 56 6 8 4 3 6 2 2 1 10 2 *
20-24 July 2006 54 5 6 4 3 7 2 3 2 11 2 *
31 August-6 September 2006 57 5 7 5 3 6 2 2 1 10 2 *
12-16 October 2006 56 5 8 4 3 6 1 3 1 11 2 *
9-14 November 2006 56 6 6 4 3 7 2 2 1 11 0 2
7-12 December 2006 54 7 6 5 3 6 2 2 2 12 0 2
19-29 January 2007 50 6 8 5 5 8 2 2 3 11 2 *
9-15 March 2007 49 7 8 6 5 8 2 2 2 9 2 0
19-25 April 2007 56 5 7 4 3 7 1 2 2 11 2 *
17-22 May 2007 57 5 6 4 2 6 1 2 3 11 2 1
14-20 June 2007 56 5 6 5 3 7 1 2 1 12 3 *
12-17 July 2007 53 5 7 4 3 7 2 2 2 13 2 *
23-29 August 2007 52 6 7 5 3 7 2 2 2 11 3 *
20-26 September 2007 52 4 6 4 3 8 2 2 2 14 3 *
18-23 October 2007 52 5 7 5 3 8 2 3 2 12 2 *
29 November-7 December 2007 54 5 8 4 3 7 1 3 2 9 3 *
17-23 January 2008 53 5 6 5 3 9 1 2 2 10 3 *
21-26 February 2008 55 5 7 5 3 7 1 2 2 9 3 *
13-18 March 2008 55 5 8 4 3 6 1 2 2 12 3 *
17-22 April 2008 54 5 7 4 3 6 2 2 1 10 4 1
15-20 May 2008 57 5 7 4 1 7 1 1 2 11 3 *
13-15 June 2008† 54 7 7 5 3 7 2 3 2 8 2 *
18-20 July 2008† 54 5 8 5 3 7 3 2 2 9 1 *
15-17 August 2008† 51 6 10 5 4 8 2 4 2 8 1 *
12-14 September 2008† 55 6 7 5 4 8 2 2 1 9 2 *
17-19 October 2008† 54 6 8 5 3 8 1 4 1 9 1 *
14-16 November 2008† 51 7 10 5 3 6 3 2 2 9 1 *
10-11 December 2008† 50 5 10 5 4 8 2 3 2 13 1 *
12-14 December 2008† 51 5 8 5 4 8 2 3 1 10 1 *
16-18 January 2009† 53 6 10 6 3 8 1 3 2 8 * *
13-15 February 2009† 50 6 9 6 3 9 2 2 1 12 1 *
13-15 March 2009† 49 7 9 8 4 8 1 2 1 10 1 *
17-19 April 2009† 52 7 8 5 4 8 1 2 1 9 1 *
29-31 May 2009† 49 7 7 4 3 9 2 3 1 12 1 0
19-21 June 2009† 51 6 8 5 3 8 3 2 2 11 1 *
17-19 July 2009† 50 4 10 5 3 8 2 4 2 10 1 *
21-23 August 2009† 50 5 8 6 3 11 2 4 2 10 * *
25-27 September 2009† 54 6 9 3 4 9 2 3 2 9 1 *
16-18 October 2009† 50 6 9 5 4 9 2 3 2 8 1 *
13-15 November 2009† 50 7 9 5 4 10 2 2 2 8 1 *
11-13 December 2009† 51 6 9 6 3 10 2 3 2 8 1 0
26-28 January 2010† 52 7 9 6 3 8 2 2 3 8 1 *
19-22 February 2010† 53 5 9 6 3 9 2 3 1 8 1 *
19-22 March 2010† 53 6 8 5 2 8 2 4 2 8 1 *
18-19 April 2010† 64 6 8 5 2 6 1 1 1 5 * *
23 April 2010† 67 8 7 3 2 5 1 1 1 5 * 0
5 May 2010†* 76 5 5 2 1 4 * 1 * 4 1 0

Base: c. 1,000-1,500 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed face-to-face, except † (interviewed by telephone)
*Wording on 5 May: "Q And how likely will you be to vote in the General Election..."

Q How likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?

Since 2010 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Don't know
  % % % % % % % % % % %
18-20 June 2010 63 6 8 4 3 6 1 2 1 7 *
23-25 July 2010 58 6 7 5 3 6 1 2 1 8 1
10-12 September 2010 61 5 8 4 2 6 1 3 1 8 *
15-17 October 2010 60 5 5 4 1 7 2 2 1 10 1
12-14 November 2010 58 5 7 3 2 9 1 2 1 10
10-12 December 2010 57 6 7 4 3 6 2 1 2 10
21-24 January 2011 58 7 8 4 2 7 2 3 1 7 1
18-20 February 2011 59 5 9 3 3 5 1 2 1 9
11-13 March 2011 59 4 8 4 3 7 1 3 1 8 1
15-17 April 2011 55 7 7 4 2 7 1 2 2 8 2
20-24 May 2011 60 5 8 4 2 7 2 3 1 8
17-19 June 2011 58 6 9 4 2 8 1 2 1 8
16-18 July 2011 57 6 8 4 3 6 1 2 2 10 1
20-22 August 2011 54 5 8 7 2 8 1 1 1 10 2
10-12 September 2011 58 7 8 4 4 7 1 1 2 8 1
22-24 October 2011 53 7 7 5 2 9 2 2 1 10 2
19-21 November 2011 53 5 7 5 3 8 2 2 1 10
10-12 December 2011 53 7 7 5 5 9 2 2 1 8 1
21-23 January 2012 55 5 9 5 3 8 2 2 2 9 1
25-27 February 2012 55 5 8 5 3 9 2 2 1 10 1
17-18 March 2012 58 4 7 5 3 7 2 3 1 8 1
21-23 April 2012 57 4 8 5 3 7 2 1 1 9 1
12-14 May 2012 55 6 9 5 2 8 1 3 2 7 1
9-11 June 2012 54 6 9 8 2 3 2 *
14-16 July 2012 51 6 8 5 8 3 11  1
11-13 August 2012 54 6 10  3 3 1 8 1
15-17 September 2012 55 6 8 3 2 1
20-24 October 2012 58 6 10 4 2 6 1 2 1 9 *
10-13 November 2012 53 5 10 8 3 6 1 3 1 9 1
 8-10 December 2012  55 *
 12-14 January 2013  58 10  1
 9-11 February 2013  54  7  8  6  3  6  2  2  1  9 2
 9-11 March 2013 58  *
 13-15 April 2013  58 1
 11-13 May 2013 57  1
 8-10 June 2013 57  1
 13-15 July 2013 55  10  1
 10-12 August 2013 54 
 7-9 September 2013 52 
 12-15 October 2013 56 
 9-11 November 2013  52  6 11 
 7-9 December 2013  54 6 8 6 2 8 2 3 2 8
 11-14 January 2014 56 5 9 5 2 6 2 2 2 8 1
 1-3 February 2014 56 7 7 6 3 6 2 2 1 7 1
 8-12 March 2014 53 7 10 6 3 7 2 2 2 8 1
 5-7 April 2014 55 
 10-12 May 2014 59
 14-17 June 2014 58 
 12-15 July 2014 57 
 9-11 August 2014 55  10 
 6-9 September 2014 59 
 11-14 October 2014 60 
 8-10 November 2014 60 
 13-15 December 2014 59 
 11-13 January 2015 61 5 7 4 3 7 1 3 2 6 1
 10-12 February 2015 62 6 6 4 2 7 1 2 1 7 1
 8-11 March 2015  60 5 8  5  2  5  1  3  2  8  2
 12-15 April 2015 68 5 5 3 3 5 1 1 * 8 *
 26-29 April 2015 74 5 6 2 2 4 1 1 * 4 1
 5-6 May 2015 82 6 4 2 1 2 * * * 2 1
 14-16 June 2015 67 6 5 3 3 5 1 1 1 7 1
 18-20 July 2015 65 6 5 4 2 5 1 1 1 8 1
 19-22 September 2015 66  6 1
 17-19 October 2015 63 
 14-17 November 2015 66 
 12-14 December 2015 62
 23-25 January 2016 64 4 8 4 2 5 1 1 2 8 1
 13-16 February 2016  62 7 7 4 3 4 2 1 1 7 1
 19-22 March 2016  61  7  8 3 3 7 1 2 1 6 1
 16-18 April 2016  65 6 7 5 1 6 * 2 1 6 1
 14-16 May 2016  58 7 6 5 2 7 1 3 1 8 2
 11-14 June 2016 67 5 7 4 1 5 2 1 * 6 1
 9-11 July 2016  67 4 6 3 2 6 1 2 1 7 1
 13-15 August 2016  69 5 6 4 3 6 1 - 1 5 1
 10-14 September 2016  67 6 6 5 2 4 2 1 1 6 1
 14-17 October 2016  64 5 7 5 2 6 1 2 1 8 1
 11-14 November 2016  69  4  6 3 2 6 1 1 1 5 1
 9-12 December 2016  63  5  6  4  3  6  2  1  1  8  2
 13-16  January 2017  64 5 5 5 2 5 1 1 * 9 1
 10-14 February 2017 62 6 7 4 2 5 1 1 2 7 2
 10-14 March 2017  62 5 7 4 2 6 1 2 2 8 *
 21-25 April 2017  74  5 6 2 2 3 * 1 * 6 1

Base: c. 1,000 GB adults aged 18+, interviewed by telephone

More insights about Public Sector