MORI Political Monitor August 2005

MORI's latest monthly Political Monitor survey, conducted between 11 and 15 August 2005, shows that the proportion of the public satisfied with the way Tony Blair is doing his job has slipped to 39%, down from 44% recorded in MORI's July Political Monitor which was conducted in the aftermath of the London bombings. Terrorism/defence/foreign affairs continue to be seen as the key national priority, with over half the public spontaneously citing these as the most important issues facing the country.

MORI's latest monthly Political Monitor survey, conducted between 11 and 15 August 2005, shows that the proportion of the public satisfied with the way Tony Blair is doing his job has slipped to 39%, down from 44% recorded in MORI's July Political Monitor which was conducted in the aftermath of the London bombings. Terrorism/defence/foreign affairs continue to be seen as the key national priority, with over half the public spontaneously citing these as the most important issues facing the country.

Topline Results

  • MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,047 adults aged 18+ at 200 sampling points across Great Britain.
  • Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 11-15 August 2005.
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population

Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,191)

160 %
Conservative 31
Labour 39
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 24
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 2
UK Independence Party 1
Other 1
160
Lab lead (177%) +8
160
Would not vote 1
Undecided 4
Refused 2

Voting -- all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (2,047)

160 %
Conservative 28
Labour 43
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 22
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 1
UK Independence Party 1
Other 3
160
Lab lead (177%) +15
160
Would not vote 12
Undecided 7
Refused 2

Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job? Base: 1,061 British adults 18+

160 Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Index
160 % % % 177%
Government (Q3) 36 54 9 -18
Blair (Q4) 39 51 10 -12
Howard (Q5) 25 45 31 -20
Kennedy (Q6) 46 26 28 +20

Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,061 British adults 18+

160 Q7 Q7/8
160 % %
Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism 41 56
Race relations/immigration/immigrants 18 35
National Health Service/Hospitals 5 28
Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism 8 24
Education/schools 4 19
Economy/economic situation 4 13
Pensions/social security 1 8
Poverty/inequality 2 7
Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry 2 7
Housing 1 6
Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution 1 4
Drug abuse 1 4
Morality/individual behaviour 1 4
Pollution/environment 1 4
Taxation 1 4
Petrol prices/fuel * 4
Transport/public transport 0 3
Inflation/prices * 2
Local government/council tax 0 2
Public services in general 1 1
Countryside/rural life * 1
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages * 1
Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament * 1
Animal welfare * *
Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease * *
Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis * *
Pound/exchange rate/value of pound * *
Privatisation * *
Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform * *
AIDS 0 *
GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods 0 *
Northern Ireland 0 *
Trade unions/strikes 0 *
Tsunami/ South East Asia 0 *
160
Other 2 8
Don't know 3 3

Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,061 British adults 18+

160 %
Improve 12
Stay the same 45
Get worse 37
Don't know 6
MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] -25

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 2,047 British adults 18+

160 %
10 -- absolutely certain to vote 57
9 6
8 6
7 3
6 4
5 7
4 1
3 2
2 2
1 -- absolutely certain not to vote 10
Don't know 2
Refused 0

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