MORI Political Monitor July 2005

Satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister rose to the highest levels for two and half years following the London bombings on 7th July. MORI's monthly Political Monitor for the Financial Times, conducted between 14 and 18 July, shows that 44% of the public are satisfied with Mr Blair, up from 39% in June (and up from 33% at the start of the year). The proportion of the public dissatisfied with the Prime Minister is at 47% this month, down from 52% in June (and 57% in January 2005).

Satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister rose to the highest levels for two and half years following the London bombings on 7th July. MORI's monthly Political Monitor for the Financial Times, conducted between 14 and 18 July, shows that 44% of the public are satisfied with Mr Blair, up from 39% in June (and up from 33% at the start of the year). The proportion of the public dissatisfied with the Prime Minister is at 47% this month, down from 52% in June (and 57% in January 2005).

The biggest shift in public attitudes over the month has been the massive rise in concern about terrorism, defence and foreign affairs. In MORI's July survey 40% of the public spontaneously said defence, foreign affairs or terrorism was the single most important issue facing the country. In June, just 6% of people said the same.

Topline Results

  • MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,044 adults aged 18+ at 200 sampling points across Great Britain.
  • Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 14-18 July 2005.
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population

Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,227)

160 %
Conservative 28
Labour 41
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 25
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 2
UK Independence Party 1
Other 1
160
Lab lead (177%) +13
160
Would not vote 1
Undecided 5
Refused 2

Voting -- all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (2,044)

160 %
Conservative 26
Labour 43
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 25
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 2
UK Independence Party 1
Other 1
160
Lab lead (177%) +17
160
Would not vote 11
Undecided 7
Refused 2

Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job? Base: 1,058 British adults 18+

160 Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Index
160 % % % 177%
Government (Q3) 37 51 12 -14
Blair (Q4) 44 47 9 -3
Howard (Q5) 25 48 28 -23
Kennedy (Q6) 42 29 28 +13

Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,058 British adults 18+

160 Q7 Q7/8
160 % %
Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism 40 58
Race relations/immigration/immigrants 17 32
National Health Service/Hospitals 6 29
Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism 8 25
Education/schools 4 20
Economy/economic situation 4 10
Pensions/social security 2 8
Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry 2 8
Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution 2 7
Pollution/environment 2 7
Poverty/inequality 2 7
Taxation 2 6
Housing 1 5
Morality/individual behaviour 1 5
Transport/public transport * 5
Drug abuse 1 3
Public services in general 1 2
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages * 2
Petrol prices/fuel * 2
Local government/council tax 0 2
Countryside/rural life * 1
Inflation/prices * 1
Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament * 1
Tsunami/ South East Asia * 1
Animal welfare * *
Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease 0 *
Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis 0 *
GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods 0 *
Northern Ireland 0 *
Pound/exchange rate/value of pound 0 *
Privatisation 0 *
Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform 0 *
AIDS 0 0
Trade unions/strikes 0 0
160
Other 1 6
Don't know 4 3

Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,058 British adults 18+

160 %
Improve 14
Stay the same 47
Get worse 32
Don't know 6
MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] -18

Q9 was sponsored by The Observer

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 2,044 British adults 18+

160 %
10 -- absolutely certain to vote 59
9 6
8 6
7 4
6 4
5 7
4 1
3 2
2 2
1 -- absolutely certain not to vote 9
Don't know 1
Refused 0

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