Net satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister is at the highest since April 2003. His net satisfaction rating among the public is at -13% (39% satisfied, 53% dissatisfied). Among Labour supporters, net satisfaction is higher than it has been in the last 3 years, in July 2002 (50%). Net satisfaction with Mr Howard as leader of the Conservative Party has followed the opposite pattern: satisfaction with the conservative leader amongst the public peaked as the election neared (-10 net satisfaction in March), but is now back up to -26 net satisfaction, where he was at the end of 2004. Amongst Conservative supporters, these swings are even more pronounced. From a net satisfaction rating of +33 in March this year, support for Mr Howard among Conservative voters has dropped to +2. That is, 42% of Conservative supporters are dissatisfied with Mr Howard as leader of the Conservative party (44% satisfied).
The public say the most important issues facing Britain are the NHS (36%), race relations/immigration (33%) and crime/law and order (30%). The two most significant changes in importance since May are an increase in the number of people mentioning Europe (doubled over the month, which reflects the 'no' votes in France and Holland, and the EU budget row immediately before fieldwork), and fewer people mentioning crime, law and order.
- MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,021 adults aged 18+ at 197 sampling points across Great Britain.
- Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 16-20 June 2005.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
(If undecided or refused at Q1)
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,227)
|Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem)||21|
|UK Independence Party||3|
|Lab lead (177%)||+13|
|Would not vote||*|
Voting -- all
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (2,021 )
|Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem)||21|
|UK Independence Party||2|
|Lab lead (177%)||+18|
|Would not vote||11|
Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job? Base: 1,042 British adults 18+
Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,042 British adults 18+
|National Health Service/Hospitals||13||36|
|Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism||13||30|
|Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism||6||16|
|Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry||3||8|
|Local government/council tax||*||2|
|Public services in general||*||2|
|Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages||*||1|
|Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament||*||1|
|Tsunami/ South East Asia||0||1|
|Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis||*||*|
|GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods||*||*|
|Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform||*||*|
|Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease||0||*|
|Pound/exchange rate/value of pound||0||*|
Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,036 British adults 18+
|Stay the same||48|
|MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI]||-14|
Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 2,021 British adults 18+
|10 -- absolutely certain to vote||60|
|1 -- absolutely certain not to vote||10|