MORI Political Monitor September 2005

Public satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister has dropped over the month to a net satisfaction score of -29%, down 17 points from August. Public satisfaction with the way the Government is running the country has dropped as well, down to a net score of -32%, down 14 points from 18% in August.

Public satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister has dropped over the month to a net satisfaction score of -29%, down 17 points from August. Public satisfaction with the way the Government is running the country has dropped as well, down to a net score of -32%, down 14 points from 18% in August.

Defence/foreign affiairs/international terrorism remains the top concern national of Britons, with 46% of the public naming it an 'important issue facing the country'. Race relations/immigration follows at 32%, with NHS/Hospitals (28%), Crime (25%) and Education (21%) high as well.

Topline Results

  • MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,930 adults aged 18+ at 198 sampling points across Great Britain.
  • Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 22-26 September 2005.
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population

Voting — all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,132)

  %
Conservative 29
Labour 39
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 25
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 1
UK Independence Party 1
Other 2
 
Lab lead (±%) +10
 
Would not vote 1
Undecided 5
Refused 2

Voting — all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (1,930)

  %
Conservative 28
Labour 42
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 23
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 2
UK Independence Party 1
Other 1
 
Lab lead (±%) +14
 
Would not vote 11
Undecided 8
Refused 2

Q3-4 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair are doing their job? Base: 1,000 British adults 18+

  Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Index
  % % % ±%
Government (Q3) 29 61 10 -32
Blair (Q4) 31 60 9 -29

Q5 Which one of the following politicians I am going to read out, if any, would you like to see lead the Conservative Party? Base: 1,000 British adults 18+

  %
David Cameron 2
Ken Clarke 32
David Davis 6
Liam Fox 3
Andrew Lansley *
Stewart Lewis* *
Theresa May 3
Malcolm Rifkind 3
David Willetts *
Other 1
None of these 15
Don't know 33

*Fake name

Q6 And if the leadership contest came down to Ken Clarke or David Davis, which would you like to see lead the Conservative Party? Base: 1,000 British adults 18+

  %
Ken Clarke 45
David Davis 19
Don't know 36

Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,000 British adults 18+

  Q7 Q7/8
  % %
Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism 29 46
Race relations/immigration/immigrants 17 32
National Health Service/Hospitals 7 28
Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism 10 25
Education/schools 4 21
Economy/economic situation 4 11
Pensions/social security 2 10
Taxation 2 8
Morality/individual behaviour 2 7
Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry 2 7
Pollution/environment 2 6
Poverty/inequality 2 6
Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution 2 5
Housing 2 5
Drug abuse 1 5
Petrol prices/fuel 1 5
Transport/public transport * 4
Inflation/prices 1 3
Local government/council tax * 3
Public services in general 1 2
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages * 2
Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament * 2
Countryside/rural life * 1
AIDS * *
Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis * *
Privatisation * *
Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform * *
Tsunami/ South East Asia * *
Animal welfare 0 *
Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease 0 *
GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods 0 *
Northern Ireland 0 *
Pound/exchange rate/value of pound 0 *
Trade unions/strikes 0 0
Other 5 11
Don't know 4 3

Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,000 British adults 18+

  %
Improve 9
Stay the same 43
Get worse 44
Don't know 4
MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] -35

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 1,930 British adults 18+

  %
10 — absolutely certain to vote 60
9 5
8 6
7 4
6 3
5 6
4 1
3 2
2 2
1 — absolutely certain not to vote 9
Don't know 1
Refused *

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