Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: US General Election Tracker (16/09/2020)

Biden maintains his lead over Trump among likely voters; Trump's approval rating is flat in the latest Reuters/Ipsos US General Election tracker.

Washington, DC, September 16, 2020 –   This week’s Reuters/Ipsos Core Political survey in the US shows likely voters continue to favour former Vice President Joe Biden over President Donald Trump in the presidential election. President Trump’s overall approval rating is stable but low. A large majority remain concerned about the direction the country is heading in. The economy, jobs, and healthcare are the top issues for many Americans.

Half of likely voters (50%) report they would vote for Joe Biden compared to 41% who say they would vote for Donald Trump if the election were held today.

  • Both parties remain loyal to their respective candidates, with 89% of Democratic likely voters reporting they would vote for Biden and 86% of Republican likely voters saying they would vote for Trump.
  • About 6% of likely voters say they are unsure of who they would vote for if the election were held today.


Among all Americans, 41% approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as president.

  • Eighty-six percent of Republican registered voters say they approve of Trump’s job performance.
  • Just one in ten Democratic registered voters approves of how Trump is handling the presidency (12%).


Only one in five Americans feel the country is heading in the right direction (22%).

  • The number of Republican registered voters reporting that the country is heading in the right direction fell by 8 percentage points between last week (53%) and this week (45%).
  • Just 7% of Democratic registered voters say the country is moving in the right direction.



About one in three Americans say the economy and jobs are the most important problems facing the country (29%).

  • The economy and jobs are the most important issues for Democratic registered voters (27%), Republican registered voters (33%) and independent registered voters (33%).
  • Healthcare is a top concern for 16% of all Americans. Democratic registered voters (23%) and independent registered voters (20%) are more likely to say healthcare is a major problem compared to just 8% of Republican registered voters. Republican registered voters are more likely to say morality (14%) is the biggest problem, while just 7% of Democratic and independent registered voters say the same thing.



About the Study

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between September 11-15, 2020, on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,358 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 1,133 registered voters, 531 Democratic registered voters, 421 Republican registered voters, 129 independent registered voters, and 859 likely voters. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval of ± 3.3 percentage points for all registered voters, ± 4.8 percentage points for Democratic registered voters, ± 5.4 percentage points for Republican registered voters, ± 9.8 percentage points for independent registered voters, and ± 3.8 percentage points for likely voters.  

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Chris Jackson
Senior Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 420-2025

Kate Silverstein
Media Relations, US
Public Affairs
+1 718 755-8829

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