Times Election Poll 1992, Week 1

Political Attitudes in Great Britain: Data on likelihood to vote, voting intention, interest in the campaign and important issues, taken at the outset of the 1992 election campaign.

Times Election Poll 1992, Week 1

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,054 adults aged 18+ at 53 constituency sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face, in street, on 11-12 March 1992, and the results published in The Times on 13 March 1992. Data were weighted to match the profile of the population.

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on April 9? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

  %
Conservative 38
Labour 41
Liberal Democrats 16
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 12
Other *
(Excludes 14% would not vote, undecided or refused)

Q3 From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Certain not to vote 8 3 6 3
Not very likely to vote 4 2 2 3
Quite likely to vote 8 9 7 8
Very likely to vote 11 12 11 16
Certain to vote 69 74 74 69
Don't know 1 1 0 2

Q4 How strongly do you support the... PARTY NAMED IN Q1 or Q2. Do you support them very strongly, fairly strongly, not very strongly or not strongly at all? Base: All naming a party at Q1/Q2

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Very strongly 33 31 37 24
Fairly strongly 43 47 43 36
Not very strongly 18 17 17 26
Not strongly at all 4 4 2 10
Don't know/no answer 1 * 1 3

Q5 Which of the following comes closest to your reasons for supporting... PARTY NAMED IN Q1 or Q2? Base: All naming a party at Q1/Q2

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
It is the party that most represents your views 78 81 82 63
The party you most support has little chance of winning in this constituency so you will vote for the ... party to try and keep another party out 17 14 13 31
No opinion 5 4 5 6
Long term trends on this question

Q6 From this card, can you tell me how interested you are in the general election campaign?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Very interested 25 27 28 27
Fairly interested 39 44 38 46
Not particularly interested 22 20 24 14
Not interested at all 13 7 8 13
No opinion 1 1 2 0

Q7 Which two or three issues will be most important to you in helping you to decide which party to vote for in the general election? UNPROMPTED ANSWERS

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
AIDS 1 * 1 1
Defence 6 9 3 5
Disarmament 1 1 2 1
Drugs 2 2 1 2
Education 33 30 37 31
EC/Common Market 2 4 1 2
Foreign policy generally 1 2 * 1
Health care/NHS 46 42 54 54
Housing 10 7 11 15
Immigration 1 2 0 1
Inflation/prices 7 10 7 3
Interest rates 4 6 4 6
Law & order 7 8 5 6
Leisure amenities/facilities * 0 * 0
Managing the economy 11 17 7 8
Northern Ireland * 1 1 0
Nuclear power * * 1 0
Nuclear weapons * * 1 0
Replacing the poll tax/Council Tax 8 4 13 7
Pollution/the environment 5 4 3 7
Public transport 2 1 2 0
Taxation/tax cuts 10 18 6 7
Trade unions * * * 0
The City/financial scandals 0 0 0 0
Unemployment/jobs 27 14 37 28
Voting system/constitutional reform/devolution 2 1 1 3
Other 25 26 23 29
Don't know 9 9 7 4

Q8 And how important is it to you personally who wins the General Election?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Very important 36 42 41 36
Fairly important 34 37 37 38
Not particularly important 21 15 19 19
Not at all important 8 4 3 6
No opinion 1 1 * 1

Q9 How likely do you think it is that one party will win a clear majority over all other parties in the House of Commons?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Very likely 13 16 12 7
Fairly likely 29 35 31 21
Not very likely 41 41 39 55
Not at all likely 10 7 9 14
No opinion 7 1 9 3

Q10a From this card, what do you think will be the outcome of the forthcoming General Election? Q10b And what would you personally prefer to be the outcome?

  Will be Would prefer
  % %
An overall majority of Conservative MPs 30 30
An overall majority of Labour MPs 17 34
No overall majority and the Liberal Democrats sharing power with the Conservative Party 20 11
No overall majority and the Liberal Democrats sharing power with the Conservative Party 19 10
Other 2 5
Don't know 1 10

Q11 Which political party do you think has the best team of leaders to deal with the country's problems? Q12 And which political party do you think has the best policies for the country as a whole? Q13 And which political party do you think is the most clear and united about what its policies should be?

  Best team of leaders Best policies Most clear and united
  % % %
Conservative 40 31 35
Labour 30 33 28
Liberal Democrats 8 13 13
Other 1 2 1
None 10 7 9
Don't know 11 14 13

Q14 I'm going to read out a list of problems facing Britain today and for each one I would like you to tell me whether the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party has the best policy on each problem.

  Con Lab LD Other None/ don't know
Defence % 47 22 6 1 24
Education % 26 42 10 1 22
Health care % 23 50 8 1 19
Unemployment % 18 46 8 1 27
Law & Order % 40 24 6 1 30
Managing the economy % 34 28 9 1 28
Replacing the poll tax % 23 39 11 1 26
Taxation % 39 31 8 1 21

Q15 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Major, Mr Kinnock or Mr Ashdown?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Major 40 84 6 21
Kinnock 27 3 64 6
Ashdown 22 8 18 69
Don't know 11 5 11 3

Q16 Do you agree or disagree with the statement "It's time for a change"?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Agree 68 30 94 91
Disagree 26 65 2 7
Neither/no opinion 6 5 4 2

Q If you thought that the Liberal Democrats were likely to win in this constituency, then how would you vote in the General Election on April 9? (If undecided or refused) Q Which party would you be most inclined to vote for?

  %
Conservative 29
Labour 33
Liberal Democrats 35
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 1
Other *
(Excludes 11% would not vote, undecided or refused)

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