Daily Mail Ipsos National Poll 2 Report

Two in five (38%) Australians approve of Anthony Albanese’s performance as Prime Minister. 

Leaders' Approval

A similar proportion (39%) disapprove, giving a balance of opinion of -1.  This is an improvement of three percentage points over the last week (when the balance of opinion was -4). 

As seen in last week’s poll, the Prime Minister’s approval rating is higher among women (-2); Australians aged 18-34 (+22) and 35-54 (+1); and Daily Mail readers (+27).

Just over a quarter (27%) of Australians approve of Peter Dutton’s performance as Opposition Leader, while almost half (47%) disapprove.  This gives a balance of opinion of -20.  Consistent with last week’s poll, his approval rating is slightly more positive among men (-13); older Australians (aged 55+, -6); and Daily Mail Readers (-6).

At -20, the performance rating of the current Opposition Leader (Dutton) remains the lowest Ipsos has seen over the last twenty years of polling trend data.

Preferred Prime Minister

When choosing between the two main party leaders in this election, almost half of Australians (46%) select Anthony Albanese as their preferred Prime Minister; 32% select Peter Dutton. This gives a positive balance of opinion of +14 for Albanese, which is the same as shown in last week’s poll results. The proportion having no opinion on either leader is diminishing as the campaign progresses.

Anthony Albanese’s lead as preferred Prime Minister is stronger among women (+21); Australians aged 18-34 (+30) and 35-54 (+23); and Daily Mail readers (+25).

Who is going to win the Federal Election?

Regardless of their voting intention, almost half (48%) of Australians think the Labor Party will win the 2025 Federal Election.  One quarter (26%) think the Coalition will win. Of those who think of themselves as Coalition voters, 28% think the Labor Party will win; an increase of two percentage points since last week.

Views on minority government

When it comes to consideration of minority governments and the need to form agreement with other parties to reach a majority, around half of Australians are concerned by this prospect – irrespective of which major party and minor party are forming that agreement.

Concern is similarly high at the prospect of Labor doing deal with the Greens (52%) and the Coalition doing a deal with One Nation (51%).  In contrast, concern is marginally lower were either of the major parties to do a deal with Teal Independents.

Younger voters (18-34) are most concerned about Coalition making a deal with One Nation (61% concerned), and older voters (55+) are most concerned about Labor making a deal with Greens (65% concerned).

Support for party housing policies

When presented with the housing policies of each of the three main parties, opinion is split among Australians, with no strong preference for one policy over another.  A quarter (25%) prefer Liberal policy (‘Providing access to $50,000 of superannuation and tax deductible mortgage payments for first home buyers’), 23% prefer Labor policy (‘Providing a 5% deposit and a $10 billion fund to build 100,000 homes for first home buyers’) and 22% prefer Green party housing policy (‘Reforming negative gearing and ending capital gains tax discounts for investment properties’).

Three in ten either don’t know (14%) or find none of the major party positions on housing appealing (16%).  

Each policy appeals – or is recognised – by those already supporting the major parties.  Labor voters and younger voters (aged 18-34) are more likely to prefer the policy of ‘Providing a 5% deposit and a $10 billion fund to build 100,000 homes for first home buyers’, and Coalition voters are more likely to prefer the policy of ‘Providing access to $50,000 of superannuation and tax-deductible mortgage repayments for first home buyers’.