British Columbians - Federal Election Part II
Residents Split On Whether Liberals (45%) Or Conservatives (40%) Will Win And Form Government Most Acceptable Minority Government Would Be A Liberal-Led, NDP-Supported Coalition
Vancouver, BC-- A new Ipsos-Reid/CTV/Globe and Mail poll shows British Columbians are split as to which party will win the up-coming election and form Canada's next government. Forty-five percent of BC residents are projecting a Liberal win and 40% are projecting a Conservative win.
If Canada has a minority government after the election, British Columbians are most accepting of a Liberal-led minority government supported by the NDP (58% acceptable). Very few British Columbians would accept a Liberal-Bloc (23%) or Conservative-Bloc (22%) coalition.
These are the findings of an Ipsos-Reid/CTV/Globe and Mail telephone poll conducted June 21st to June 23rd, 2004 with a randomly selected sample of 800 adult British Columbia residents. The results are considered accurate to within 1773.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire BC adult population been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were statistically weighted to ensure the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual BC population according to the 2001 Census.
BC Residents Split On Whether Liberals (45%) Or Conservatives (40%) Will Win And Form Government
British Columbians have divided opinions on which party will win the up-coming election and form Canada's next government. Slightly more British Columbians think the Liberals (45%) will win than think the Conservatives (40%) will win. Only 6% think the NDP will win and form government. About one-in-ten (8%) British Columbians have no opinion.
The Interior/North is the only region to give the edge to the Conservatives over the Liberals (46% to 39%). Older residents (55+ years) also give a slight edge to the Conservatives (43% to 41%).
Most Acceptable Minority Government Would Be A Liberal-Led, NDP-Supported Coalition
British Columbians were asked to consider the possibility of a minority government and rate the acceptability of six different scenarios. The most palatable scenario seems to be a Liberal-led, NDP-supported minority government. Six-in-ten (58%) residents say that a Liberal-led minority government supported by the NDP would be acceptable ("very" or "somewhat") to them.
Roughly half of British Columbians would accept each of the following scenarios:
For more information on this press release, please contact:
Kyle Braid
Vice-President, Ipsos-Reid
Vancouver, BC
604.257.3200 About Ipsos-Reid
Ipsos-Reid is Canada's market intelligence leader and the country's leading provider of public opinion research. With operations in eight cities, Ipsos-Reid employs more than 300 researcher professionals and support staff in Canada. The company has the biggest network of telephone call centres in Canada, as well as the largest pre-recruited household and on-line panels. Ipsos-Reid's Canadian marketing research and public affairs practices are staffed with seasoned research consultants with extensive industry-specific backgrounds, offering the premier suite of research vehicles in Canada--including the Ipsos Trend Report, the leading source of public opinion in the country--all of which provide clients with actionable and relevant information. Ipsos-Reid is an Ipsos company, a leading global survey-based market research group.
To learn more, visit: www.ipsos.ca
About Ipsos
Ipsos is a leading global survey-based market research company, owned and managed by research professionals. Ipsos helps interpret, simulate, and anticipate the needs and reactions of consumers, customers, and citizens around the world.
Member companies assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media. They measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos member companies offer expertise in advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, and public affairs research, as well as forecasting and modeling and consulting. Ipsos has a full line of custom, syndicated, omnibus, panel, and online research products and services, guided by industry experts and bolstered by advanced analytics and methodologies. The company was founded in 1975 and has been publicly traded since 1999. In 2003, Ipsos generated global revenues of $644.2 million U.S.
To learn more, visit: www.ipsos.com
Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Paris Premier Marchй, and is part of the SBF 120 and Next Prime Indices as well as eligible to the Deferred Settlement System (SRD). Euroclear code 7329, Reuters ISOS.LN, Bloomberg IPS FP
If Canada has a minority government after the election, British Columbians are most accepting of a Liberal-led minority government supported by the NDP (58% acceptable). Very few British Columbians would accept a Liberal-Bloc (23%) or Conservative-Bloc (22%) coalition.
These are the findings of an Ipsos-Reid/CTV/Globe and Mail telephone poll conducted June 21st to June 23rd, 2004 with a randomly selected sample of 800 adult British Columbia residents. The results are considered accurate to within 1773.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire BC adult population been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were statistically weighted to ensure the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual BC population according to the 2001 Census.
BC Residents Split On Whether Liberals (45%) Or Conservatives (40%) Will Win And Form Government
British Columbians have divided opinions on which party will win the up-coming election and form Canada's next government. Slightly more British Columbians think the Liberals (45%) will win than think the Conservatives (40%) will win. Only 6% think the NDP will win and form government. About one-in-ten (8%) British Columbians have no opinion.
The Interior/North is the only region to give the edge to the Conservatives over the Liberals (46% to 39%). Older residents (55+ years) also give a slight edge to the Conservatives (43% to 41%).
Most Acceptable Minority Government Would Be A Liberal-Led, NDP-Supported Coalition
British Columbians were asked to consider the possibility of a minority government and rate the acceptability of six different scenarios. The most palatable scenario seems to be a Liberal-led, NDP-supported minority government. Six-in-ten (58%) residents say that a Liberal-led minority government supported by the NDP would be acceptable ("very" or "somewhat") to them.
Roughly half of British Columbians would accept each of the following scenarios:
- A Liberal-led minority government supported by the Conservatives (52%)
- A Conservative-led minority government supported by the NDP (51%)
- A Conservative-led minority government supported by the Liberals (49%)
For more information on this press release, please contact:
Kyle Braid
Vice-President, Ipsos-Reid
Vancouver, BC
604.257.3200 About Ipsos-Reid
Ipsos-Reid is Canada's market intelligence leader and the country's leading provider of public opinion research. With operations in eight cities, Ipsos-Reid employs more than 300 researcher professionals and support staff in Canada. The company has the biggest network of telephone call centres in Canada, as well as the largest pre-recruited household and on-line panels. Ipsos-Reid's Canadian marketing research and public affairs practices are staffed with seasoned research consultants with extensive industry-specific backgrounds, offering the premier suite of research vehicles in Canada--including the Ipsos Trend Report, the leading source of public opinion in the country--all of which provide clients with actionable and relevant information. Ipsos-Reid is an Ipsos company, a leading global survey-based market research group.
To learn more, visit: www.ipsos.ca
About Ipsos
Ipsos is a leading global survey-based market research company, owned and managed by research professionals. Ipsos helps interpret, simulate, and anticipate the needs and reactions of consumers, customers, and citizens around the world.
Member companies assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media. They measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos member companies offer expertise in advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, and public affairs research, as well as forecasting and modeling and consulting. Ipsos has a full line of custom, syndicated, omnibus, panel, and online research products and services, guided by industry experts and bolstered by advanced analytics and methodologies. The company was founded in 1975 and has been publicly traded since 1999. In 2003, Ipsos generated global revenues of $644.2 million U.S.
To learn more, visit: www.ipsos.com
Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Paris Premier Marchй, and is part of the SBF 120 and Next Prime Indices as well as eligible to the Deferred Settlement System (SRD). Euroclear code 7329, Reuters ISOS.LN, Bloomberg IPS FP
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