Liberal Lead Holds Through Rupture With U.S. On Trade
A new Ipsos poll for Global News finds that, if another federal election were held tomorrow, the Liberal party (44%, -1 pt vs. April 2026) has maintained its lead over the Conservatives (33%, no change since April). The NDP and the Bloc have gained one point each.
The Liberals lead in all regions except Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba and among Canadians of all income levels. However, the Conservatives (40%) lead the Liberals (30%) by ten among Millennials. By contrast, the Liberals (53%) have a commanding lead over Conservatives (26%) among Boomers.
There is no difference in Liberal support among males (44%) or females (44%), but Conservatives enjoy more support from males (37%) than they do females (29%), due to slightly higher support for the NDP (13% for women compared to 6% for men).
A strong majority of Canadians (63%) say Canada was right to stand firm with the U.S. in trade negotiations, even if it meant higher costs and job losses. 18% say Canada should have made additional sacrifices. However, support for standing firm drops to 48% among Gen Z, while rising to 80% among Boomers.
Support for standing firm is strongest in SK/MNB (70%) and weakest in Quebec (57%).
Canadians earning over $100K a year are more likely to say Canada was right to stand firm (76%) than those earning less than $40K a year (51%), and support for standing firm increases with income.
Conservative voters (50%) are less likely to say Canada was right to stand firm, while Liberal voters (83%) overwhelmingly back the Government’s decision.
A majority of Canadians in all regions and in all age groups want to see Parliament recalled so MPs can debate Canada’s response to the U.S., though support is slightly higher among males (65%) and Boomers (66%). There is also support for recalling Parliament among a majority of all party voters, including Liberals (57%), but it was strongest for Bloc Quebecois (80%) and Conservative (73%).
Canadians are split in all regions on whether Canada should cease negotiations and stop seeking a new deal, though a significant portion of Canadians (14%) hold no opinion.
A majority (67%) of Conservative voters feel that Pierre Poilievre would have done a better job, though close to half of Millennials (49%) also felt this way. In contrast, just 21% of Boomers said Poilievre would have gotten a better deal.
