Despite Party In-Fighting, Support for Liberals (46%) Climbs
Support for the Canadian Alliance (17%; up one point), the Progressive Conservatives (14%; down one point), and the New Democratic Party (14%; up one point) remains static from their support levels in June.
While in Quebec, support for the Bloc Quebecois (7% nationally; down 3 points) drops 13 points to 26%. The Bloc now trails the Liberals (Quebec 46%) by 20 points in the province.
Three percent would support some other party, while 12% would not vote or are undecided.
These are the findings of an Ipsos-Reid/CTV/Globe and Mail poll conducted between July 16th and July 18th, 2002. The poll is based on a randomly selected sample of 1,000 adult Canadians. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within 177 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult Canadian population been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were statistically weighted to ensure the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Canadian population according to the 1996 Census data.
Despite on-going party in-fighting, support for the governing Liberals (46%; up three points from June) inches up among decided voters.
- Support for the Liberals is strongest among voters in Ontario (58%), Atlantic Canada (53%), and Quebec (46%), followed by British Columbia (34%) and Saskatchewan/Manitoba (33%). Voters in Alberta (19%) are least likely to express support for the Liberals.
- Older (52%) voters are more likely than younger (46%) or middle aged (42%) voters to say they would support the Liberals.
Support for the Canadian Alliance (17%; up one point), the Progressive Conservatives (14%; down one point), and the New Democratic Party (13%; up one point) remains static from their levels of support in June.
- The Alliance receive higher levels of support in the Western regions, with their strongest support among voters in Alberta (50%), Saskatchewan/Manitoba (31%), and British Columbia (25%). In fact in Alberta, the Alliance leads all other federal parties in support. The CA receives support of 12% of decided voters in Ontario, 6% in Atlantic Canada, and 5% in Quebec.
- The CA also receives higher support among Canadians in middle (18%) and upper (19%) income households than among those in lower income households (10%).
- Regionally, the PC's support is higher in Atlantic Canada (27%) and Alberta (25%), followed by Saskatchewan/Manitoba (16%) and Ontario (15%), while support for the Tories is lowest in British Columbia (8%) and Quebec (7%). As well, Canadians from upper income households (19%) are more likely to express support for the Conservatives than those in lower (11%) or middle (9%) income households.
- NDP support is highest among decided voters in British Columbia (27%), followed by Saskatchewan/Manitoba (17%), Ontario (12%), Quebec (12%), and Atlantic Canada (12%). Residents of Alberta (6%) are least likely to express support for the NDP. The party also receives higher support among women (18% versus 10% of men) and among lower income households (18% versus 11% of upper income households).
While in Quebec, support for the Bloc Quebecois (7% nationally; down three points) drops 13 points to 26%. The Bloc now trails the Liberals (Quebec 46%) by 20 points in the province.
To view the complete release and tables, please open the attached PDF files.
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For more information on this news release, please contact:
Darrell Bricker
President and COO
Ipsos-Reid Public Affairs
(416) 324-2900
