Public Opinion


NDP Headed to Majority Government

NDP (51%, down 1) lead BC Liberals (34%, unchanged) and Greens (13%, up 2)

Canadian Sentiment Continues to Deteriorate (-6 points in October) as Ipsos Disruption Barometer now at Lowest Level since Start of Pandemic

Brief Respite During Summer Months Gives Way to Worsening Mood as Canadians Doubt Fundamentals of Recovery

Nothing Changes in a No Change Election

NDP (52%, up 1) maintain 18-point lead over BC Liberals (34%, up 1)

Uneven Recovery Means Many Canadians Facing a Cold Winter; Young Canadians, Women, Renters at Higher Risk of Insolvency

As Debt Support Ends, MNP Debt Index Sinks to Second-Lowest Reading Since Inception (94%)

Working Canadians Are Struggling With Their Mental Health In 2020, But More Are Willing To Reach Out For Help

Insurance coverage bolsters positive attitudes – those with coverage feel more positive about their mental health (65% vs. 55% no insurance) and financial health (48% vs. 36% no insurance)
Polling Survey

Liberals (36%, +3) Bounce ahead of Conservatives (31%, -1) After Throne Speech and PM’s Televised Address

Liberals enjoy a double-digit lead in Ontario, but tied with Bloc in Quebec; Canadians aged 55+ Leaning Liberal, not Tory

Impact of Prime Minister’s Speech to the Nation a Wash: 27% Have More Confidence in PM’s Plans Following Speech; 29% Have Less Confidence

One Quarter (27%) of Canadians Watched PM’s Televised Address; 18% Saw it on Social Media; 50% Read or Heard about It

British Columbians are Not Looking for Change

NDP start campaign with 51% support among decided voters (BC Liberals 33%, BC Greens 12%)

Heading into Throne Speech, Canadians Sending Mixed Signals on Trudeau Government

While Liberals (33%) and Conservatives (32%) Tied in Popular Vote, Trudeau’s Approval Remains High (53%) and 43% Believe Government Deserves Re-election