Decision Canada: The First Poll Of The Winter Election Campaign

Toronto, ON - According to a new CanWest News Service/Global News survey conducted by Ipsos Reid throughout the hours following the fall of the government in Ottawa by a successful loss of confidence vote, the federal Liberals (31%, -3 points from a survey conducted November 22-24th, 2005) would be in a dead-heat tie with the Conservative Party (31%, +1 point) in terms of decided vote support if a federal election were held tomorrow. Meanwhile, 18% would vote NDP (+2), and 5% would vote for the Green Party (unchanged).

In Quebec, the Bloc Quebecois attracts 58% of the federal vote (-1 point) versus 24% support for the Liberals in this province (+1 point).

These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted for CanWest News Service/Global News and fielded from November 28th to November 29th 2005. For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 1000 adult Canadians were interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the aggregate results are considered accurate to within 1773.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult Canadian population been polled. The margin of error will be larger within each sub-grouping of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Canadian population according to the 2001 Census data. Please open the attached PDF to view the factum and detailed tables.

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For more information on this news release, please contact:

Dr. Darrell Bricker
President & COO
Ipsos-Reid Public Affairs
(416) 324-2900