Trump or Biden? Urban Indians most divided in choice for next US President

The study busts myth of en masse support for Trump in India

The author(s)

  • Madhurima Bhatia Media Relations and Content lead
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New Delhi, October 29, 2020: Is Trump a friend of India? Is there widespread support in India for Trump for Presidentship? Ipsos global study shows Indians are quite divided in their views about who the next US President should be and busts myths about all Indians backing Trump: Only 1 in 3 urban Indians (36%) said Trump will win the Elections; 39% predicted a win for Biden; 18% were unsure and 8% did not disclose who their choice would be.

And if Indians could vote, who would they vote for, to be the next US President? Again the views were highly divided - 34% said Trump, 38% Biden, 21% were unsure and 8% preferred not to answer. Interestingly, amongst 25 countries, the %age of people favoring Trump to win the presidential election was the highest in India (36%), the global average (excluding the US) being 27%.

Risks to the US Presidential Elections - Urban Indians foresee some of these key risks that the US Presidential Elections could confront:Spread of fake news about candidates (28%); efforts to prevent people from voting (27%); organizational problems (25%);  voter fraud or impersonation (23%); vote buying (22%); interference from foreign power (20%); efforts to mis-record, misuse or destroy valid votes; prefer not to answer (14%), etc.  

"Like the previous US Presidential Election, this one too is a maze and the predicament of Indians is understandable. It is hard to predict the outcome, as both candidates are on even keel. Some of the issues around free and fair elections could have ramifications on the results, so like Indians, most global citizens have their fingers crossed that these issues do not cast a shadow on the most awaited Elections, next month," says Amit Adarkar, CEO, Ipsos India. 

Interestingly, Indians said vote buying/ bribing (32%), was the biggest issue in India, during elections. Voter fraud or impersonation (30%), spread of fake news around candidates (29%), organisational problems (28%), efforts to prevent people from voting (27%), efforts to mis-record, misuse or destroy valid votes (21%) were some of the other key issues highlighted. 

About the Study - These are the findings of a 25-country Global Advisor survey conducted on Ipsos’s Online Panel System, September 25-October 9, 2020 among 18,507 adults aged 18-74 in the United States, Canada, Malaysia, South Africa, and Turkey and 16-74 in all other countries. The sample consists of approximately 1000+ individuals in each of Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Spain, Sweden, and the U.S., and approximately 500+ individuals in each of Argentina, Chile, Hungary, India, Malaysia, the Netherlands, Peru, Poland, Russia, South Africa, South Korea, and Turkey. The samples in Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, and the U.S. can be taken as representative of these countries’ general adult population under the age of 75. The samples in Brazil, Chile, India, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey are more urban, more educated, and/or more affluent than the general population. The survey results for these markets should be viewed as reflecting the views of the more “connected” segment of these populations.This report includes comparisons with the results of surveys conducted on Global Advisor in May-June 2016 and September-October 2016 in most of the same countries as in the 2020 survey with comparable sample sizes.The data is weighted so that each market’s sample composition best reflects the demographic profile of the adult population according to the most recent census data. The precision of Ipsos online polls are calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 4.8 percentage points. For more information on the Ipsos use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.Where results do not sum to 100 or the ‘difference’ appears to be +/-1 more/less than the actual, this may be due to rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of don't knows or not stated responses.The publication of these findings abides by local rules and regulations.

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The author(s)

  • Madhurima Bhatia Media Relations and Content lead

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