Liberals Narrow Gap with Conservatives

Liberal Party support has increased as the party advances in selecting a new leader, reaching 28%, an 8-point gain since early January. This growth in Liberal backing has come partly at the expense of the Conservative Party, which has seen its support decrease to 41%, a 5-point drop. Despite these shifts, the Conservatives remain well-positioned for a decisive victory if an election were held tomorrow. They continue to lead in all regions except Quebec, where the Bloc continues to lead, and across all key demographic groups.

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between January 30 and February 3, 2025, on behalf of Global News. For this survey, a sample of 1,000 Canadians aged 18+ was interviewed online. Quotas and weighting were employed to ensure that the sample’s composition reflects that of the Canadian population according to census parameters. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadians aged 18+ been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Darrell Bricker, PhD
CEO, Ipsos Global Public Affairs
+1 416 324 2001
[email protected]

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