Carney Ahead on Most Key Leadership Metrics as Election Day Nears, but Poilievre Gaining Steam on Affordability

As the election campaign enters its final week, Canadians predominantly view Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre as the leading candidates for Prime Minister. Carney consistently outpaces Poilievre across crucial areas, such as managing tough economic times (+15 points vs Poilievre), having the right temperament and maturity for leadership (+14 points), representing Canada on the world stage (+13 points), and standing up to U.S. President Donald Trump (+12 points). Furthermore, Carney is seen as someone who can help make us proud to be Canadians, with a 7-point lead over Poilievre in this domain.
In contrast, some skepticism persists around Poilievre, as he is perceived to have a hidden agenda (+12 points), being someone who will say anything to get elected (+12 points), and potentially, being someone who is in over their head (+6 points). However, Poilievre holds an edge over Carney when it comes to advocating for the middle class (+4 points), and he now ties Carney on making things affordable and on keeping election promises.



These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between April 17th and 19th, 2025, on behalf of Global News. For this survey, a sample of n=1,000 Canadians aged 18+ was interviewed online, via the Ipsos I-Say panel and non-panel sources, and respondents earn a nominal incentive for their participation. Quotas and weighting were employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos polls which include non-probability sampling is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadians been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. Ipsos abides by the disclosure standards established by the CRIC, found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/
For more information on this news release, please contact:
Darrell Bricker, PhD
CEO, Ipsos Global Public Affairs
+1 416 324 2001
[email protected]

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