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Into The Election Window: Part 1
Overall Vote Stable Since Last Poll -- Liberals (39%), Conservatives (26%), NDP (15%), Bloc (48% In Quebec vs. 28% Liberals), Green Party (5%). Liberals In Majority Territory If Vote Held Today, But Voter Dynamic Volatile And Minority Lurks. Paul Martin Trails Other Leaders Badly (-26) On Momentum With Jack Layton (+9) And Stephen Harper (+8) Having More Traction
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One Year To Next BC Provincial Election
NDP Now Has Clear Lead With 44% Support
BC Liberal Support Continues To Slip And Now Stands At 37%
Support For Greens (11%) Now At Lowest Level Since May 2001 -
Liberals Move Into Solid Majority Territory But Voters Still VolatileLiberals (40%), Conservatives (24%), NDP (15%), Bloc (46% In Quebec), Green (5%)
Seat Model Projects Liberals With 171-175 Seats, Conservatives 56-60 Seats, Bloc 54-58 Seats, NDP 17-21 Seats If Vote Held Today
155 Seats Needed For Majority -
Potential Liberal Majority Gets More Comfortable
Liberal vs. Bloc Gap Closes In Quebec, Conservatives Falter In Atlantic Canada But Gain In Prairies, NDP Slip; Seat Range Model Projects Liberals With Potential Majority: 160-164 Seats, Conservative 66-70 Seats, Bloc 56-60 Seats, NDP 18-22 Seats, 155 Seats Needed For Majority
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Canadians' Views On Trade Agreements:
Six In Ten Canadians (62%) Disagree That Canada Should Sign A Trade Agreement That Would Open Canada's Public Services to Competition From Foreign Companies
A Further Six In Ten (60%) Disagree That Government Should Sign Deals That Would Allow Corporations to Directly Sue The
Government of Canada If Our Public Policies Impair Their Ability to Make Profits -
Volatile Voters Bounce Grits Back Into Majority Territory (40% +5) As Conservatives Stumble (23% -5)
NDP 18% (Unchanged), Bloc 11% (Bloc +1 at 46% with Grits at 33% in Quebec), Green 5% (Unchanged)
Seat Model Projects Liberals Taking 153-157 Seats, Conservatives 66-70 Seats, Bloc 58-62 Seats, NDP 19-23 Seats
155 Seats Needed For Majority
Majority (59%) Think Federal Liberals Don't Deserve To Be Re-Elected And Time Another Party Given Chance To Govern Country