BC Conservatives (35%, down 8-points from 2024 Election) Trail BC NDP (45%, unchanged) by 10-points. Nearly Half (46%) of BC Voters Have an Unfavourable Impression of New BC Conservative Leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay (vs. 17% Favourable).
Seat Projection Model Suggests Conservatives 114-118, Liberals 104-108, Bloc Quebecois 61-65, NDP 21-25 -- If Vote Held Tomorrow
Conservatives Could Form A Minority Government If Vote Held Tomorrow, But Majority (61%) Is Opposed To A Potential Conservative/Bloc Minority Union
Seat Projection Model Suggests Liberals 115-119, Conservatives 110-114, NDP 17-21, Bloc Quebecois 56-60, Green Possible 2 Seats -- If Vote Held Tomorrow
Seat Model: Liberals 122-126, Conservatives 107-111, NDP 15-19, Bloc Quebecois 56-60 If Vote Held Today
Liberals 34%, Conservatives 30%, NDP 16%, Bloc Quebecois 44% in Quebec vs. 29% For Liberals
Two-Thirds (66%) Say It's Time For A Change: Only 29% Say Liberals Deserve To Be Re-Elected...
Martin and Liberal Campaign Momentum Plummets
Almost Half (47%) Choose Paul Martin As Best Prime Minster...Up 8 Points Since March 25th Poll. Despite Sag In Recent Polls, Paul Martin And Liberal Party Get The Most Support (44%) As Party And Leader Who Will Likely Provide Best Overall Government For Canada Compared To Other Parties.
Half (52%)Of Canadians Think Main Reason Election Being Held Now Is Liberals Are "Cynical Politicians" Want To Win Re-Election Now, Not Because Of New Mandate To Take On Tough Issues (45%). Healthcare Tops List As Most Important Issue At Outset Of Federal Election Campaign. Martin's Liberals Score Most Support On National Areas Of Responsibilities -- But Support Is Soft. Majority (58%) Agree Martin Is Too Friendly With Big Business
Liberals Slip To 35% (-4), Conservatives Hold At 26%, NDP 18% (+3)
In Quebec, Bloc Quebecois Has Widened Lead Over Liberals To 22 Points (50% vs. 28%)Seat Projection Model Shows Liberals With Potential 158-162 Seats, Conservatives 66-70 Seats, NDP 17-21 Seats, And Bloc 59-63 Seats, If Vote Held Today
Seven In Ten (72%) Canadians Believe Liberals Will Win Next Election. Majority (60%) Agree Canada Will Get Better Government With Minority -- Including Decided Liberal Voters (47%). Majority (61%) Agree Liberal Party Is Corrupt... One-Third (35%) Of Decided Liberal Voters Agree. Canadians Split Whether Harper Too Extreme To Be Canada's Prime Minister... Conservative Party Top Second Choice Among Liberal Voters...
Overall Vote Stable Since Last Poll -- Liberals (39%), Conservatives (26%), NDP (15%), Bloc (48% In Quebec vs. 28% Liberals), Green Party (5%). Liberals In Majority Territory If Vote Held Today, But Voter Dynamic Volatile And Minority Lurks. Paul Martin Trails Other Leaders Badly (-26) On Momentum With Jack Layton (+9) And Stephen Harper (+8) Having More Traction
