Brown Most Successful Chancellor, Say British Political Scientists
Gordon Brown has been rated the most successful post-War Chancellor in an exclusive Ipsos poll of nearly 300 academics belonging to the Political Studies Association (PSA).
Gordon Brown has been rated the most successful post-War Chancellor in an exclusive Ipsos poll of nearly 300 academics belonging to the Political Studies Association (PSA).
PSA members rated Gordon Brown's performance on average as 7.9 out of 10 -- his nearest rivals were Kenneth Clarke (Conservative Chancellor between 1993 and 1997) and Stafford Cripps (Labour Chancellor between 1947 and 1950), both rated as 6.1 out of 10. Norman Lamont (Conservative Chancellor between 1990 and 1993) was rated as the least successful of the UK's 20 post-War Chancellors, with an average score of just 2.3.
Brown is also rated as the most successful Chancellor in terms of providing economic stability, working independently from the Prime Minister and leaving a lasting legacy on Britain's economy.
The survey to be published as part of today's (28 November) PSA Annual Awards Ceremony in London, also shows that Brown has a clear lead over David Cameron as the most capable Prime Minister, according to PSA members. Forty nine per cent think the current Chancellor would make the most capable Prime Minister -- a 35 percentage point lead over Cameron (on 14%).
The survey also covered characteristics important to being a successful Chancellor and the predicted and preferred composition of the House of Commons after the next General Election.
Download the 2006 PSA Awards Ceremony Poll presentation pdf, 57KB
Topline Results
- Results are based on 283 completed online responses from members of the Political Studies Association
- Fieldwork dates 13 September - 31 October 2006
- Where results do not sum to 100, this is due to rounding or the exclusion of don't knows / not stated
- An asterisk (*) represents a value of less than one half of one per cent, but not zero
Q1 For each of the following Chancellors of the Exchequer, please indicate how successful or unsuccessful you think each were overall while in office (with 0 being highly unsuccessful and 10 being highly successful)?
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Don't Know | Mean | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | ||
1945-1947 Hugh Dalton - Labour | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 5.7 |
1947-1950 Stafford Cripps - Labour | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 6.1 |
1950-1951 Hugh Gaitskell - Labour | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 5.4 |
1951-1955 Rab Butler - Conservative | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 9 | 2 | * | 29 | 5.7 |
1955-1957 Harold Macmillan - Conservative | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 5.4 |
1957-1958 Peter Thorneycroft - Conservative | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | * | 0 | 42 | 4.0 |
1958-1960 Derrick Heathcoat-Amory - Conservative | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 3.8 |
1960-1962 John Selwyn Lloyd - Conservative | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 3 | * | * | 0 | 41 | 3.6 |
1962-1964 Reginald Maudling - Conservative | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 3.9 |
1964-1967 James Callaghan - Labour | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4.5 |
1967-1970 Roy Jenkins - Labour | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 6.0 |
1970 Ian Macleod - Conservative | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 3.9 |
1970-1974 Anthony Barber - Conservative | 7 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 2.9 |
1974-1979 Denis Healey - Labour | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 5.0 |
1979-1983 Geoffrey Howe - Conservative | 8 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 |
1983-1989 Nigel Lawson - Conservative | 6 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 4 | * | 7 | 4.9 |
1989-1990 John Major - Conservative | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | * | 6 | 3.7 |
1990-1993 Norman Lamont - Conservative | 23 | 21 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2.3 |
1993-1997 Kenneth Clarke - Conservative | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6.1 |
1997 onwards Gordon Brown - Labour | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 2 | 7.9 |
Q2 Which two of the following Chancellors do you think were MOST SUCCESSFUL at providing the country with economic stability?
Q3 Which two of the following Chancellors do you think were MOST SUCCESSFUL at leaving a lasting legacy on Britain's economy?
Q4 Which two of the following Chancellors do you think were MOST SUCCESSFUL at working independently from their Prime Minister?
Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
---|---|---|---|
% | % | % | |
1945-1947 Hugh Dalton - Labour | 9 | 16 | 1 |
1947-1950 Stafford Cripps - Labour | 10 | 15 | 6 |
1950-1951 Hugh Gaitskell - Labour | 2 | 6 | 2 |
1951-1955 Rab Butler - Conservative | 14 | 7 | 9 |
1955-1957 Harold Macmillan - Conservative | 3 | 3 | 7 |
1957-1958 Peter Thorneycroft - Conservative | * | 0 | 1 |
1958-1960 Derrick Heathcoat-Amory - Conservative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1960-1962 John Selwyn Lloyd - Conservative | * | 0 | * |
1962-1964 Reginald Maudling - Conservative | 0 | * | 2 |
1964-1967 James Callaghan - Labour | 1 | 3 | 3 |
1967-1970 Roy Jenkins - Labour | 9 | 5 | 14 |
1970 Ian Macleod - Conservative | * | * | * |
1970-1974 Anthony Barber - Conservative | * | 1 | 0 |
1974-1979 Denis Healey - Labour | 3 | 7 | 7 |
1979-1983 Geoffrey Howe - Conservative | 6 | 20 | 2 |
1983-1989 Nigel Lawson - Conservative | 9 | 27 | 17 |
1989-1990 John Major - Conservative | * | * | 2 |
1990-1993 Norman Lamont - Conservative | * | 4 | 2 |
1993-1997 Kenneth Clarke - Conservative | 32 | 17 | 15 |
1997 onwards Gordon Brown - Labour | 80 | 42 | 64 |
Don't know | 7 | 11 | 19 |
Q5 Here is a list of characteristics some scholars consider to be important for a Chancellor to possess in order for his / her Chancellorship to be considered to be successful. Please look through this list and tick those three that you consider to be most important to being successful.
% | |
---|---|
Leadership skills | 10 |
Charisma | 1 |
Decisiveness | 24 |
Down-to-earth | 2 |
Good in a crisis | 22 |
Good quality colleagues | 7 |
High-level ministerial government experience | 5 |
Honesty | 5 |
Integrity | 8 |
In touch with ordinary people | 4 |
Luck | 38 |
Patriotism | 0 |
Poor opposition | 1 |
Has a good relationship with the PM | 14 |
Ruthlessness | 5 |
Sound judgement | 45 |
Stable parliamentary majority | 10 |
Strong convictions / ideology | 6 |
Understands economics | 42 |
Understands the problems facing Britain | 29 |
Understands world problems | 12 |
Other | 3 |
None of these | 1 |
Now thinking about the present and future ...
Q6 Who do you think would make the most capable Chancellor of the Exchequer?
% | |
---|---|
Gordon Brown | 68 |
George Osborne | 4 |
Vincent Cable | 8 |
Other | 6 |
None | 4 |
Don't Know | 11 |
Q7 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister?
% | |
---|---|
Gordon Brown | 49 |
David Cameron | 14 |
Sir Menzies Campbell | 10 |
Other | 11 |
None | 10 |
Don't Know | 6 |
Q8 What do you think will be the composition of the House of Commons after the next General Election?
% | |
---|---|
Labour landslide (100+ seat majority) | * |
Comfortable Labour win (50-99 seat majority) | 5 |
Narrow Labour win (1-49 seat majority) | 48 |
Hung Parliament - no overall majority for Labour or Conservatives | 28 |
Narrow Conservative win (1-49 seat majority) | 15 |
Comfortable Conservative win (50-99 seat majority) | 3 |
Conservative landslide (100+ seat majority) | 0 |
Other | 1 |
Don't Know | 1 |
Q9 What would you personally like the composition of the House of Commons after the next General Election?
% | |
---|---|
Labour landslide (100+ seat majority) | 4 |
Comfortable Labour win (50-99 seat majority) | 25 |
Narrow Labour win (1-49 seat majority) | 25 |
Hung Parliament - no overall majority for Labour or Conservatives | 21 |
Narrow Conservative win (1-49 seat majority) | 9 |
Comfortable Conservative win (50-99 seat majority) | 5 |
Conservative landslide (100+ seat majority) | 1 |
Other | 7 |
Don't Know | 3 |
More insights about Public Sector