Times 2001 Campaign Polls Wave 3

MORI's third weekly election campaign poll for The Times

24 May 2001

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,066 adults aged 18+ at 75 sampling points across Great Britain
Interviews were conducted face-to-face on 22nd May 2001
Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Results are based on all respondents unless otherwise stated
An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero
Poll conducted by MORI on behalf of The Times

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on June 7th? [If undecided or refused at Q1] Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,066]

Conservative	30%
Labour	55%
Liberal Democrats	11%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	2%
Green Party	1%
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party	1%
Other	1%

Would not vote	9%
Undecided	13%
Refused	3%

Q3 Can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote at the next Election? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,066]

	%
Certain to vote	52
Very likely to vote	17
Quite likely to vote	16
Not very likely to vote	7
Certain not to vote	7
Don't know	1

Q4 How strongly do you support the … party? Do you support them very strongly, fairly strongly, not very strongly or not strongly at all? Base: All respondents 18+ naming a party

	All	Con	Lab	Lib Dem
	%	%	%	%
801	230	443	90
Very strongly	23	25	23	16
Fairly strongly	49	44	51	49
Not very strongly	23	25	21	27
Not strongly at all	5	6	4	6
Don't know	1	0	1	1

Strongly	72	69	74	65
Not strongly	28	31	25	33
Net strongly (±)	+44	+38	+49	+32

Q5 Have you definitely decided to vote for the …. party or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote? Base: All respondents 18+ naming a party

	All	Con	Lab	Lib Dem
	%	%	%	%
801	230	443	90
Definitely decided	66	68	69	51
May change mind	32	30	28	48
Don't know	2	2	3	1

Q6 If you do change your mind about voting for the … party, which party would you vote for instead? Base: All respondents 18+ who may change mind

	All	Con	Lab	Lib Dem
	%	%	%	%
	253	66*	125	42*
Conservative	18	0	27	25
Labour	17	35	0	38
Liberal Democrats	33	44	39	0
Scottish/Welsh Nationalists	3	1	5	0
Green Party	1	2	1	1
Democratic Party/UKIP/ Referendum Party	1	2	2	0
Other	1	1	1	2
None of them/Would not vote	5	4	5	10
Don't know	20	11	20	23

* NB Small base sizes

Q7 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Blair, Mr Hague or Mr Kennedy? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

	%
Blair	51
Hague	14
Kennedy	10
Don't know	25

Q8-10 Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Read through the list slowly keeping the ... party in mind.. Every time you come to a statement that fits your ideas or impressions of the … party just tell me the letter next to it. You may pick as many or as few as you like. You don't have to be certain, just pick the letters next to the statements you feel fit the … party. Base: All respondents 18+ [1,066]

	Con	Lab	Lib Dem
[letters omitted]	%	%	%
Keeps it promises	5	9	6
Understands the problems facing Britain	18	28	22
Represents all classes	8	24	21
Looks after the interests of people like us	11	21	11
Moderate	12	20	25
Extreme	12	3	2
Concerned about the people in real need in Britain	9	21	19
Has a good team of leaders	7	25	8
Will promise anything to win votes	46	35	16
Out of touch with ordinary people	36	24	9
Has sensible policies	15	27	27
Too dominated by its leader	13	26	4
Professional in its approach	13	19	14
Divided	30	11	6
No opinion	10	7	30

On balance, do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

Q11 "The Conservatives are ready to form the next Government" Q12 "William Hague is ready to be Prime Minister" Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

	Q11	Q12
	Cons	Hague
	%	%
Agree	25	25
Disagree	66	66
Don't know	9	8

Q13 If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or get out of the European Union, how would you vote? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

	%
Stay in	43
Get out	41
Don't know	16
Based on all expressing an opinion:
Stay in	51
Get out	49

Q14 If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should be part of a Single European currency, how would you vote? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

	%
In favour	23
Against	63
Don't know	14
Based on all expressing an opinion:
In favour	27
Against	73

Q15 If the government were to strongly urge that Britain should be part of a Single European currency, how would you vote? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

	%
In favour	28
Against	57
Don't know	15
Based on all expressing an opinion:
In favour	33
Against	67

Q16 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or what? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

	%
Conservative	24
Labour	41
Liberal Democrat	7
Scot/Welsh Nationalist	1
Green	1
Other	2
Don't know	6
None of these	16
Refused	1

Q17 Which party did you vote for at the last General Election, in May 1997? If you are not sure, or did not vote, please say so. Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

Conservative	22%
Labour	42%
Liberal Democrats	8%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	1%
Referendum Party	*%
Green Party	*%
Other	1%

Did not vote	17%
Too young	4%
Can't remember	2%
Refused	2%

Q18 As far as you know, are you currently registered to vote? IF YES And are you registered to vote in this constituency, or are you registered to vote somewhere else? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

	%
Yes, registered to vote in this constituency	94
Yes, registered to vote somewhere else	2
No, not registered to vote	3
Don't know	2

Q19 Have you applied for a postal or proxy vote for the General Election, or do you intend to do so? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,066)

	%
Yes, have applied for postal	5
Yes, have applied for proxy	*
Yes, intend to apply for postal	3
Yes, intend to apply for proxy	1
No, neither	90
Don't know	1

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