The Mail on Sunday - London's Mayor

• MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,005 London adults aged 18+.
• Interviews were conducted by telephone on 14-16 October 1999.
• Based on all unless otherwise stated.
• Data are weighted to the profile of London.
• An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero.

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Conservative	30%
Labour	52%
Liberal Democrats	14%
Green Party	3%
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party	*%
Other	1%
Would not vote	8%
Undecided	8%
Refused	2%

Q3 As you may know, there will be elections in May next year for the new Mayor of London. How likely do you think you will be to get along to vote in those elections? Will you be ... ?

Certain to vote	16038%
Very likely to vote	16018%
Quite likely to vote	16019%
Not very likely to vote	16014%
Certain not to vote	1607%
Don't know	1604%

In the election for Mayor, voters will have two votes, one for their first choice as Mayor and one for their second choice.

Q4 I am going to read out the names of some people who have said that they may be candidates to be Mayor of London. I would like you to tell me, of this list, who your first choice will be?

Q5 And who would your second choice will be?

160	First Choice	Second Choice
Ken Livingstone	42%	16022%
Jeffrey Archer	25%	16016%
Frank Dobson	12%	16018%
Glenda Jackson	13%	16025%
Trevor Phillips	6%	16013%
Susan Kramer	2%	1605%
Other	*%	1602%
None of these	3%	16011%
Don't know / undecided	8%	16019%
Refused	1%	1601%

Q6 If Ken Livingstone were the official Labour Party candidate, would your first choice be Jeffrey Archer, the official Conservative Party candidate, Susan Kramer, the official Liberal Democrat candidate, Ken Livingstone or are you undecided?

Q7 If Frank Dobson were the official Labour Party candidate, would your first choice be Jeffrey Archer, the official Conservative Party candidate, Susan Kramer, the official Liberal Democrat candidate, or Frank Dobson or are you undecided?

Q8 If Glenda Jackson were the official Labour Party candidate, would your first choice be Jeffrey Archer, the official Conservative Party candidate, Susan Kramer, the official Liberal Democrat candidate, or Glenda Jackson or are you undecided?

Q9 If Trevor Phillips were the official Labour Party candidate, would your first choice be Jeffrey Archer, the official Conservative Party candidate, Susan Kramer, the official Liberal Democrat candidate, or Trevor Phillips or are you undecided?

160	Q6	Q7	Q8	Q9
Jeffrey Archer	30	45	39	45
Susan Kramer	7	12	10	11
Ken Livingstone	62
Frank Dobson		41
Glenda Jackson			49
Trevor Phillips				40
Other	1	2	2	4
None of these	3	10	9	10
Don't know / undecided	20	24	22	25

Q10 If Ken Livingstone were not the official Labour Party candidate but stood as an independent and Frank Dobson were the official Labour Party candidate, who would be your first choice? Would it be Jeffrey Archer, the official Conservative Party candidate, Susan Kramer the official Liberal Democrat candidate, Frank Dobson the official Labour Party candidate, Ken Livingstone as an independent candidate or are you undecided?

Jeffrey Archer	16024%
Susan Kramer	1605%
Frank Dobson	16022%
Ken Livingstone	16048%
Other	160*%
None of these	1603%
Don't know / undecided	16015%

Q11 Which of the two methods I am going to read out do you think is the best way for parties to select their candidate for London mayor ...

a A ballot of all party members in London b Through an 'electoral college' system with party members, MPs and trade unions each having one third of the votes

a Ballot of party members	16062%
b Through 'electoral college'	16024%
Other	1602%
None of these	1601%
Don't know / no opinion	16011%

Q12 Which of these statements comes closest to your views of Ken Livingstone? Q13 Which of these statements comes closest to your views of Frank Dobson? Q14 Which of these statements comes closest to your views of Jeffrey Archer?

Q15 As you may know, some people have suggested that Tony Blair and the Labour Party leadership does not want Ken Livingstone to become the official Labour Party candidate.

Do you think the Labour Party leadership should or should not stop Ken Livingstone becoming the official Labour Party candidate?

Should	14%
Should not	77%
Don't know	1609%

Q16 And does this make you more likely or less likely to support Ken Livingstone or does it make no difference?

More likely	16025%
Less likely	1604%
Make no difference	66%
Don't know / no opinion	1605%

Q17 As you may know, some people have suggested that Tony Blair and the Labour Party leadership want Frank Dobson to become the official Labour Party candidate.

Does this make you more likely or less likely to support Frank Dobson or does it make no difference?

More likely	9%
Less likely	22%
Make no difference	62%
Don't know / no opinion	7%

Q18 Finally, as you may know, Jeffrey Archer, the official Conservative Party candidate, has been criticised for his past business dealings.

Does this make you more likely or less likely to support Jeffrey Archer or does it make no difference?

More likely	3%
Less likely	37%
Make no difference	55%
Don't know / no opinion	5%