Times 2001 Campaign Polls Wave 4

MORI's fourth weekly election campaign poll for The Times
  • MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,013 adults aged 18+ at 75 sampling points across Great Britain
  • Interviews were conducted face-to-face on 29th May 2001
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
  • Results are based on all respondents unless otherwise stated
  • An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero
  • Poll conducted by MORI on behalf of The Times

Now that nominations are closed, MORI shows respondents the names of the actual candidates and parties standing in their constituency - only practical in a face-to-face survey. This reflects the ballot paper voters will face in the voting booth, and is the same methodology as used in MORI's final election poll for The Times in 1997. This reinforces the fact that the election is not a hypothetical exercise, reminds respondents that there are more than the two main parties contesting the election, and may help to focus them on the particular circumstances in their constituency.

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on June 7th? [If undecided or refused at Q1] Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,013]

Conservative 30%
Labour 48%
Liberal Democrats 16%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3%
Green Party 1%
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party 2%
Other 1%
Would not vote 8%
Undecided 10%
Refused 2%

Q3 Can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote at the next Election? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,013]

  %
Certain to vote 54
Very likely to vote 17
Quite likely to vote 13
Not very likely to vote 6
Certain not to vote 8
Don't know 2

Q4 How strongly do you support the … party? Do you support them very strongly, fairly strongly, not very strongly or not strongly at all? Base: All respondents 18+ naming a party

:
  All Con Lab Lib Dem
  % % % %
799 230 396 121
Very strongly 20 23 23 11
Fairly strongly 50 50 50 47
Not very strongly 23 21 22 30
Not strongly at all 7 7 5 12
Don't know * 0 * 1
Strongly 70 73 73 58
Not strongly 30 28 27 42
Net strongly ± +40 +45 +46 +16

Q5 Have you definitely decided to vote for the …. party or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote? Base: All respondents 18+ naming a party

:
  All Con Lab Lib Dem
  % % % %
799 230 396 121
Definitely decided 69 72 69 63
May change mind 30 27 29 36
Don't know 1 1 2 1

Q6 If you do change your mind about voting for the … party, which party would you vote for instead? Base: All respondents 18+ who may change mind

:
  All Con Lab Lib Dem
  % % % %
231 60* 109 43*
Conservative 17 0 23 23
Labour 15 18 0 43
Liberal Democrats 21 33 26 0
Scottish/Welsh Nationalists 2 0 4 0
Green Party 3 0 6 2
Democratic Party/UKIP/Referendum Party 4 9 2 0
Other 4 3 7 0
None of them/Would not vote 5 6 4 4
Don't know 29 30 29 28

* NB Small base sizes

Q7 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Blair, Mr Hague or Mr Kennedy? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,013)

  %
Blair 50
Hague 16
Kennedy 11
Don't know 23

Q8 I want you to think about what it is that most attracted you to the … party. Some people are attracted mainly by the policies of the party, some by the leaders of the party and some because they identify with the party as a whole. If you had a total of ten points to allocate according to how important each of these was to you, how many points would you allocate to the leaders of the party you intend voting for, how many to its policies, and how many to the party as a whole? Please bear in mind that the total of all your points should add up to ten. Base: All respondents 18+ [1,013]

All Con Lab Lib Dem
  Mean Mean Mean Mean
  799 230 396 121
Leaders 3.2 2.9 3.4 3.2
Policies 4.2 4.4 3.9 4.4
Parties 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.3
  % % % %
Don't know 3 2 4 2

Q9 In your view, which of the political parties has run the most effective campaign so far?

  %
Conservative 12
Labour 35
Liberal Democrat 13
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 1
Green 0
Democratic Party *
UK Independence Party *
Other *
None of these 14
Don't know 25

Q10-13 How interested would you say you were in each of the following?

  Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13
  News about the election What the opinion polls say about the election Party election broadcasts Politicians' speeches
  % % % %
Very interested 12 5 5 7
Fairly interested 46 30 30 39
Not particularly interested 27 34 32 29
Not at all interested 14 30 32 25
Don't know * 1 1 *

Q14-20 If a Labour Government is elected after the next General Election, do you think it will or will not … ?

  Will Will not Don't know
  % % %
Increase taxes 74 16 11
Improve the NHS 55 35 10
Give a strong voice to Britain in Europe 49 37 13
Keep its promises 31 54 15
Help to improve your own standard of living 38 52 9
Improve standards in schools 60 29 11
Be controlled by the Trade Unions 18 65 16

Q21 Which of the following best describes your own view of British participation in the single currency? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,013)

  %
Strongly support British participation 10
Generally in favour of British participation, but could be persuaded against it if I thought it would be bad for the British economy 23
Generally opposed to British participation, but could be persuaded in favour of it if I thought it would be good for the British economy 24
Strongly oppose British participation 36
Don't know 6

Q22 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or what? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,013)

  %
Conservative 24
Labour 42
Liberal Democrat 10
Scot/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green 1
Other 2
Don't know 4
None of these 15
Refused 2

Q23 Which party did you vote for at the last General Election, in May 1997? If you are not sure, or did not vote, please say so. Base: All respondents 18+ (1,013)

Conservative 22%
Labour 41%
Liberal Democrats 10%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2%
Referendum Party 1%
Green Party 1%
Other *%
Did not vote 16%
Too young 4%
Can't remember 3%
Refused 2%

Q24 As far as you know, are you currently registered to vote? IF YES And are you registered to vote in this constituency, or are you registered to vote somewhere else? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,013)

  %
Yes, registered to vote in this constituency 94
Yes, registered to vote somewhere else 3
No, not registered to vote 2
Don't know 2

Q25 Have you applied for a postal or proxy vote for the General Election, or do you intend to do so? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,013)

  %
Yes, have applied for postal 5
Yes, have applied for proxy 1
Yes, intend to apply for postal 2
Yes, intend to apply for proxy *
No, neither 92
Don't know *

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