Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (09/19/2018)

Among all Americans, Democrats (39%) hold an 8-point lead over Republicans (31%) in this week's generic congressional ballot

Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (09/19/2018)

The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, D.C. - With less than fifty days until the midterm elections this upcoming November, Democrats continue to hold on to their advantage in the generic congressional ballot. Likely voters would be more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate (48%) than a Republican candidate (41%) if the elections were held today. This advantage is reflected in the sentiments of the general public; among all Americans, Democrats (39%) hold an 8-point lead over Republicans (31%). 

Trump’s approval numbers remain steady compared to last week, with 42% of Americans approving of his job as President. Trump’s approval rate is slightly higher among likely voters than Americans as a whole (47%). When it comes to the most important problem that the US is facing today, all Americans (18%) and likely voters (20%) say it is healthcare. Americans also report the economy generally (13%) and immigration (13%) as important problems. Likely voters are slightly more likely to care about immigration (16%), followed by the economy generally (13%).

When it comes to the direction of the country, more than half of Americans (54%) say that things in this country are on the wrong track, while 34% say they are heading in the right direction. Likely voters are also more likely to say that things in the country are on the wrong track (53%) than heading in the right direction (41%). Republicans (74%) are more optimistic about the direction of the country compared to Democrats (12%) and Independents (33%).

About this Study

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters between September 12-18, 2018. For the survey, a sample of 2,215 Americans, including 1,304 likely voters, 544 Democrats, 582 Republicans, and 159 Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points for all adults, 3.1 percentage points for likely voters, 4.8 percentage points for Democrats, 4.6 percentage points for Republicans, and 8.9 percentage points for Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online non-probability polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry.

With offices in 89 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,780.5 million in 2017.

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The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs

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