Over half of Californians approve of Gavin Newsom the week before the recall election
Washington, DC, September 8, 2021 – A recent Spectrum News/Ipsos poll finds that over half (56%) of Californians approve of the job Gavin Newsom has been doing as governor, unchanged from an October 2020 survey (56%). As the state's recall election approaches next week, Governor Newsom's favorability among registered voters is at 58%, higher than any of his challengers. His closest competitor is Larry Elder with a 26% favorability rating, followed by John Cox (21%), and Kevin Faulconer (19%). When asked what are the main problems facing the state, Californians list homelessness on top (39%), followed by climate change/natural disasters (36%), affordable housing (36%), and COVID-19 (33%). In October 2020, COVID-19 topped the list at 50%.
These results are part of a larger Spectrum News story. Check back over the next few days for more results.
About the Study
This Spectrum News/Ipsos California poll was conducted August 26-31, 2021, by Ipsos using the KnowledgePanel®. This poll is based on a representative sample of 2,083 residents of California, age 18 or older. It includes 1,724 who are registered voters.
The study was conducted in both English and Spanish. The data were weighted to adjust for gender by age, race/ethnicity, education, and language proficiency. The demographic benchmarks came from the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) from the US Census Bureau. The weighting categories were as follows:
- Gender (Male, Female) by Age (18–29, 30-44, 45-59 and 60+)
- Race/Hispanic Ethnicity (White Non-Hispanic, Black Non-Hispanic, Other Non-Hispanic Hispanic, 2+ races Non-Hispanic)
- Education (Less than High School graduate, High School graduate, Some College, Bachelor and beyond)
- Census Region (Northeast, Midwest, South, West)
- Language proficiency (English proficient, Bilingual, Spanish proficient, Non-Hispanic, not asked)
The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults. Among registered voters, it is 3.1 percentage points. The margin of error takes into account the design effect, which was 1.80 for all adults and 1.78 for registered voters. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total substantially more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent.
This poll is trended with a Spectrum News/Ipsos California poll, conducted October 7-14, 2020. That poll contained n=1,400 residents of California. Note that this study was conducted using opt-in sample and therefore has a credibility interval, a measure of precision used for Ipsos online polls, of plus or minus 3.0 percentage points. While significant changes in data points can largely be attributed to the rapidly changing landscape of the COVID-19 pandemic, the methodological shift may have also generated a slight mode effect.
For more information on this news release, please contact:
Mallory Newall
Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 374-2613
Kate Silverstein
Media Relations, US
Public Affairs
+1 718 755-8829
[email protected]
About Ipsos
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Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts, and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions, and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers, or employees. We serve more than 5,000 clients across the world with 75 business solutions.
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