Washington, DC, June 13, 2023 – The newest Reuters/Ipsos poll concerning former president Donald Trump's federal criminal indictment shows that Republicans are unfazed by Trump's legal troubles. More than two in five Republicans support him for the nomination, and three-quarters say that the charges have no impact or make it more likely that they will support Trump in the 2024 presidential election. The poll also shows that half of Americans believe the charges are politically motivated, but they also say the circumstances around the charges are believable.
About half of Americans say that the indictment of Donald Trump on criminal charges is politically motivated (50%), down six points since the last poll in early April concerning New York state criminal charges. Forty-three percent of Republicans support Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination, down slightly from our last poll in May, but maintaining his double-digit lead over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (22%), who recently formally entered the 2024 presidential race. Thirty-six percent of Republicans say they are more likely to vote for Trump given the latest criminal charges against him, and 41% say the latest charges have no impact on their intent to vote. Sixty-two percent of Americans believe that Trump illegally removed classified documents from the White House and stored them at his home, but 34% of Americans say that Trump is being treated unfairly compared to Joe Biden and Mike Pence, who also had documents at their homes.
About the Study
These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between June 9-12, 2023 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,005 adults age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii was interviewed online in English. The sample also includes 447 Democrats, 337 Republicans, and 137 independents.
The sample was randomly drawn from Ipsos’ online panel, partner online panel sources, and “river” sampling and does not rely on a population frame in the traditional sense. Ipsos uses fixed sample targets, unique to each study, in drawing a sample. After a sample has been obtained from the Ipsos panel, Ipsos calibrates respondent characteristics to be representative of the U.S. Population using standard procedures such as raking-ratio adjustments. The source of these population targets is U.S. Census 2022 American Community Survey data. The sample drawn for this study reflects fixed sample targets on demographics. Post hoc weights were made to the population characteristics on gender, age, race/ethnicity, region, education and political party affiliation.
Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online non-probability polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points for all respondents. Ipsos calculates a design effect (DEFF) for each study based on the variation of the weights, following the formula of Kish (1965). This study had a credibility interval adjusted for design effect of the following (n=1,005, DEFF=1.5, adjusted Confidence Interval=+/-5.3 percentage points).
The poll also has a credibility interval of plus or minus 5.7 percentage points for Democrats, plus or minus 6.5 percentage points for Republicans, and plus or minus 10.3 percentage points for independents.
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