MORI Political Monitor, December 2003

Among those who say they are certain to vote at the next General Election, Labour's share of the vote has risen four points, from 36% in November to 40% in December. The Conservatives now on 31% are down four points and the Liberal Democrats remain unchanged on 22%.

MORI's latest research also shows the satisfaction levels with the Government and party leaders, as well as the issues which are most concerning the public and economic optimism.

Fieldwork was conducted 11-17 December, though most interviews were carried out after the capture of Saddam Hussein last Sunday.

Topline Results

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,913 adults aged 18+ at 197 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 11-17 December 2003. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: 1,913 British adults 18+

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All absolutely certain to vote (978)

Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Duncan Smith / Mr Kennedy are doing their job? Base: 1,001 British adults 18+

Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? Base: 1,001 British adults 18+

Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,001 British adults 18+

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 1,913 British adults 18+