Political Monitor


Reform UK holds slim voting intention lead over Labour but Andy Burnham preferred as PM to Nigel Farage and Kemi Badenoch

New polling data from Ipsos in the UK, conducted 25–30 June 2026, reveals a shifting political landscape as Prime Minister Keir Starmer prepares to step down.
Scotland Survey

SNP out in front while the race for second place is too close to call - but 1 in 4 may still change their mind

Ipsos’ final 2026 Scottish Parliament election poll for STV News.

Reform hold 6-point lead over Labour and the Conservatives

Ipsos’ latest Political Monitor is now released, with fieldwork carried out 9-15 April 2026. This means fieldwork was conducted before recent announcements about Peter Mandelson failing his security vetting.
Scotland Survey

SNP extend their lead while Scottish Labour support slumps

The SNP have extended their lead over Labour and Reform UK according to the latest Ipsos Scottish Political Monitor, taken in the first week of the Holyrood election campaigns (26-31 March) and conducted in partnership with STV News.
Politics Survey

Reform UK holds 7-point lead over Labour, Greens up 5 points

Reform UK still hold a clear lead over Labour. This lead is 7 points today – one point down from January and 8 points down from their 15-point lead in November

SNP maintain polling lead in Scotland but four in ten say they may change their minds

SNP lead constituency voting intentions on 36% (+1 from early December).

Labour party more liked than Starmer but both reach historic lows - Ipsos poll

Net likeability ratings for the Labour leader now equal Jeremy Corbyn’s previous low, while the party is less liked than any time in Ipsos trends going back to 2007. However, the party is still more liked than its leader – and more than the other parties.

Reform UK still holds 8-point lead, but the gap shrinks amid doubts over their readiness for government - Ipsos poll

Reform UK maintain +8-point lead over Labour, but this is down from +15 in November 2025.