Prime Minister / Party Leader Survey
MORI's recent poll for The Sun indicates that more than a third of the public (36%) would like to see Tony Blair step down as Prime Minister 'immediately'. Furthermore, when asked who they think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the public prefer Gordon Brown to Blair, albeit by a small margin (42% vs 39%). Support for Brown is greatest amongst Liberal Democrat supporters, while more Labour and Conservative supporters prefer Tony Blair.
Ken Clarke is seen as the preferred leader for the Conservative Party by more than a third of the population (36%), with David Davis following at 13%. It should be noted that this fieldwork period is 22-26 September, prior to the Conservative Party Conference.
Topline Results
- MORI interviewed 504 adults aged 18+ by telephone from 29-30 September 2005.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Q1 When do you think Tony Blair should step down as Prime Minister? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Immediately | 36 |
| Before the end of 2005 | 4 |
| In 2006 | 8 |
| In 2007 | 3 |
| In 2008 | 3 |
| In 2009 | 1 |
| In 2010 | 1 |
| Immediately before the next general election | 6 |
| After the next election (expected in 2009/2010) | 6 |
| Other | 19 |
| Don't know | 13 |
Q2 Which one of the following politicians I am going to read out, if any, would you like to see lead the Conservative Party? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| David Cameron | 8 |
| Ken Clarke | 36 |
| David Davis | 13 |
| Liam Fox | 5 |
| Other | 5 |
| None of these | 10 |
| Don't know | 24 |
Q3/5/7/9 If Gordon Brown were Leader of the Labour Party and David Cameron / Ken Clarke / David Davis / Liam Fox were Leader of the Conservative Party and Charles Kennedy Leader of the Liberal Democrat Party, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or for another party? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q3/5/7/9 Q4/6/8/10 Which party would you be most inclined to support? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| David Cameron | Ken Clarke | David Davis | Liam Fox | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | |
| Conservative | 26 | 28 | 27 | 25 |
| Labour | 40 | 40 | 39 | 42 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 25 | 24 | 25 | 23 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Green Party | 0 | * | 0 | 0 |
| UK Independence Party | * | * | * | 1 |
| Other | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Lab lead (177%) | +14 | +12 | +12 | +17 |
| Would not vote | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Undecided | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Refused | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 26 |
| Labour | 40 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 25 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 0 |
| Green Party | 0 |
| UK Independence Party | * |
| Other | 8 |
| Lab lead (±%) | +14 |
| Would not vote | 2 |
| Undecided | 3 |
| Refused | 2 |
Q5 If Gordon Brown were Leader of the Labour Party and Ken Clarke were Leader of the Conservative Party and Charles Kennedy Leader of the Liberal Democrat Party, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or for another party? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q5 Q6 Which party would you be most inclined to support? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 28 |
| Labour | 40 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 24 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 0 |
| Green Party | * |
| UK Independence Party | * |
| Other | 8 |
| Lab lead (±%) | +12 |
| Would not vote | 1 |
| Undecided | 3 |
| Refused | 1 |
Q7 If Gordon Brown were Leader of the Labour Party and David Davis were Leader of the Conservative Party and Charles Kennedy Leader of the Liberal Democrat Party, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or for another party? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q7 Q8 Which party would you be most inclined to support? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 27 |
| Labour | 39 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 25 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 0 |
| Green Party | 0 |
| UK Independence Party | * |
| Other | 9 |
| Lab lead (±%) | +12 |
| Would not vote | 2 |
| Undecided | 3 |
| Refused | 2 |
Q9 If Gordon Brown were Leader of the Labour Party and Liam Fox were Leader of the Conservative Party and Charles Kennedy Leader of the Liberal Democrat Party, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or for another party? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q7 Q10 Which party would you be most inclined to support? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 25 |
| Labour | 42 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 23 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 0 |
| Green Party | 0 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 9 |
| Lab lead (±%) | +17 |
| Would not vote | 2 |
| Undecided | 3 |
| Refused | 2 |
Q11 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister -- Tony Blair or Gordon Brown? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| All | Conservative supporters | Labour supporters | Lib Dem supporters | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | |
| Tony Blair | 39 | 45 | 56 | 27 |
| Gordon Brown | 42 | 37 | 37 | 53 |
| Don't know | 20 | 18 | 7 | 20 |
Q12 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister -- David Cameron, Ken Clarke, David Davis or Liam Fox? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| All | Conservative supporters | Labour supporters | Lib Dem supporters | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | |
| David Cameron | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| Ken Clarke | 39 | 46 | 35 | 40 |
| David Davis | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| Liam Fox | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| None of them | 11 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
| Don't know | 25 | 19 | 27 | 25 |
Q13 Which party did you vote for at the General Election on May 5th 2005? If you are not sure or did not vote, please say so? Base: 504 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 21 |
| Labour | 31 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 19 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 1 |
| Green Party | 1 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 4 |
| Did not vote | 18 |
| Too young | 1 |
| Can't remember | 2 |
| Refused | 1 |
