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Voters Rate Tory Leader's Performance As Worse Than Kinnock's
Michael Howard is struggling to make his mark with the electorate. But failing, so far, to engage floating voters. The election is likely to be called next April, just nine months away, for a 5th May election day.
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MORI Political Monitor
MORI's latest Political Monitor, conducted between 24 and 29 June 2004, shows that the public remain dissatisfied with the performance of Tony Blair as Prime Minister, but this is not translating into support for either Michael Howard or the Conservative Party. While, by a margin of around two to one, the public are dissatisfied with the way Tony Blair is doing his job (61% to 30%), Labour retain a lead of 3 points over the Conservatives. At the same time, there has been a sharp rise in dissatisfaction with Michael Howard as leader of the Opposition. In November 2003, MORI's first poll undertaken after the Conservative leadership election showed that 26% of the public were satisfied with Michael Howard and 17% dissatisfied — the majority giving "don't know" (57%). The latest survey shows that still 26% of people say they are satisfied with Michael Howard, but 38% are dissatisfied as the number of people not expressing an opinion decreases.
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Glasgow Panel Survey II
MORI Scotland has been commission by Glasgow City Council to conduct a series of four large scale residents surveys over the next two years. Each survey will double as a recruitment exercise for the new Glasgow Citizens Panel.
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New Labour And Delivery
Received political wisdom is that modern governments, especially the present British government, are and will be judged by the public on whether they have "delivered". So "Has New Labour delivered?" will, it is suggested, be the key question on which the outcome of the next general election may turn (assuming, of course, that the opposition has regained a sufficient degree of political credibility for anybody to take them seriously as an alternative). Sir Robert Worcester analyses.
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Nurses Divided Over Improvements In The NHS
Nurses believe the Government is achieving key health targets in certain priority areas according to a MORI Social Research Institute survey for the Royal College of Nursing (RCN). Most nurses working in cancer care believe that patients are now benefiting from improved treatments, reduced waiting times and more specialist nurses. However, in contrast, the wider nursing population is more divided about whether increased investment has led to significant improvements for most other patients.
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Attitudes To Health And Safety
New research by the MORI Social Research Institute for the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) has been published, looking at attitudes towards health and safety issues. The report — 'Attitudes towards health and safety: a quantitative survey of stakeholder opinion' — looks specifically at:
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MORI Political Monitor - Analysis
MORI's latest Political Monitor finds, for the fourth successive month, very little difference between Labour and the Conservatives. Labour has regained a slight lead, but the general picture is one of stability. By a two to one margin, the public remain critical of the way Tony Blair is doing his job. This has not translated into higher levels of satisfaction with Michael Howard; his satisfaction rating now stands at -2, the lowest this year.
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Local Government Review Research
MORI has just completed a major research project for The Boundary Committee for England. Some 17,000 residents in the north of England have been asked about the possible future pattern of unitary local government in the area.
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MORI Political Monitor Analysis - Defence / Terrorism Hit New High As Labour And Conservatives Are Neck And Neck
The terrorist attacks in Madrid last week have had an immediate impact on British public opinion, according to MORI's latest Political Monitor. Asked unprompted to name the most important issues facing Britain today, more of the public mention defence and terrorism (41%) than any other issue. This is the first time since March 2003, then at the height of the Iraq War, that defence/terrorism has been seen as the most important issues facing the country.
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Voters Happy to Stick With the MPC
The Chancellor will refresh his verdict on the economic case for EMU entry in the Budget. We expect him again to rule out EMU entry, although doubtless with some sugar-coated language about gradual convergence.