Sunday Telegraph Week 4 Election Poll
- MORI interviewed 1,021 British adults aged 18+
- Interviews were conducted by telephone between 31 May-1 June 2001
- Results are based on all respondents unless otherwise stated
- Data are weighted to the known population profile
- An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero
- Where percentages do not add up to exactly 100% this may be due to computer rounding, the exclusion of "don't knows" or to multiple answers
- Poll conducted by MORI on behalf of The Sunday Telegraph
QV1 How do you intend to vote in your constituency at the General Election on June 7th? [If undecided or refused at QV1] QV2 Which party are you most inclined to support in your constituency?
| Conservative | |
| Labour | |
| Liberal Democrats | |
| SNP | |
| Plaid Cymru | |
| Green Party | |
| Referendum Party/UKIP/Democratic | |
| Scottish Socialist Party | |
| Other | |
|
|
|
| Labour lead over Conservatives | +23 |
|
|
|
| Would not vote | |
| Undecided | |
| Refused | |
General Election 2001 Voting Intention Trends
Q3 How likely are you to vote at the General Election on June 7?
| % | |
| Certain to vote | 63 |
| Very likely to vote | 15 |
| Quite likely to vote | 10 |
| Not very likely to vote | 5 |
| Certain not to vote | 6 |
| Don't know | 1 |
Q4 Have you definitely decided to vote for the [...] party or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote? Base: All naming a party (840)
:| All | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | |
| % | % | % | % | |
| 840 | 236 | 403 | 149 | |
| Definitely decided | 72 | 78 | 73 | 64 |
| May change mind | 27 | 22 | 26 | 35 |
| Don't know | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Q5 Which of the following comes closest to your reasons for intending to vote for the [...] party? Base: All naming a party (840)
:| All | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | |
| % | % | % | % | |
| 840 | 236 | 403 | 149 | |
| It is the party that most represents your views | 82 | 84 | 88 | 69 |
| The party you support has little chance of winning in this constituency so you vote for the Liberal Democrat party to try and keep another party out | 10 | 7 | 7 | 25 |
| Other | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| No opinion | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Q6 And which is the party you support that has little chance of winning in this constituency? Base: All voting tactically (87)
| % | |
| Conservative | 20 |
| Labour | 29 |
| Liberal Democrats | 29 |
| SNP | 2 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1 |
| Green Party | 3 |
| Referendum Party/UKIP/Democratic | 4 |
| Scottish Socialist Party | 0 |
| Other | 2 |
| None/don't know | 10 |
Q7 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Blair, Mr Hague or Mr Kennedy? Base:
| % | |
| Blair | 49 |
| Hague | 16 |
| Kennedy | 12 |
| Don't know | 23 |
Q8 In your view, which of the political parties has run the most effective campaign so far?
| % | |
| Conservative | 11 |
| Labour | 37 |
| Liberal Democrats | 19 |
| Scot/Welsh Nationalists | * |
| Other | 1 |
| None of these | 14 |
| Don't know | 18 |
Q9 Looking ahead to the General Election on June 7th, which, if any, issues will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
| % | |
| Animal welfare | 2 |
| Asylum/immigration | 6 |
| Defence | 1 |
| Education | 39 |
| Europe | 14 |
| Foot and mouth disease | 2 |
| Health care | 50 |
| Housing | 2 |
| Law & Order | 10 |
| Managing the economy | 7 |
| Northern Ireland | * |
| Pensions | 15 |
| Protecting the natural environment | 3 |
| Public transport | 7 |
| Taxation | 11 |
| Trade Unions | * |
| Unemployment | 3 |
| Other | 11 |
| None of these/don't know | 11 |
Q10-11 Which of these statements comes closest to your view of Mr Blair/Mr Hague
| Mr Blair % | Mr Hague % | |
| I like him and I like his policies | 41 | 17 |
| I like him but I dislike his policies | 20 | 18 |
| I dislike him but I like his policies | 11 | 13 |
| I dislike him and I dislike his policies | 18 | 40 |
| No opinion | 10 | 12 |
| Like him | 61 | 35 |
| Dislike him | 29 | 53 |
| Net like him | +32 | -18 |
| Like his policies | 52 | 30 |
| Dislike his policies | 38 | 58 |
| Net like his policies | +14 | -28 |
Q12 If the Conservatives lose the General Election, do you think William Hague should or should not step down as leader of the Conservative Party?
| All (840) % | Con (236) % | |
| Should | 51 | 43 |
| Should not | 34 | 52 |
| Don't know | 15 | 5 |
Q13 If the Conservatives lose the General Election and William Hague steps down as party leader, which one of the politicians I am going to read out, if any, would you like to see lead the Conservative Party?
| All (840) % | Con (236) % | |
| Kenneth Clarke | 17 | 11 |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 1 | 2 |
| David Davis | * | 1 |
| Liam Fox | 2 | 3 |
| Francis Maude | 2 | 4 |
| Michael Portillo | 15 | 22 |
| John Redwood | 4 | 8 |
| Malcolm Rifkind | 3 | 2 |
| Margaret Thatcher | 8 | 11 |
| Anne Widdecombe | 12 | 13 |
| Other | 1 | 2 |
| None of these | 14 | 6 |
| Don't know | 21 | 15 |
Q14-16 How would you vote at the General Election on June 7, if Michael Portillo/Kenneth Clarke/Anne Widdecombe were leader of the Conservative Party? [Which party are you most inclined to support?]
| Portillo % | Clarke % | Widdecombe % | |
| Conservatives | 28 | 28 | 31 |
| Labour | 50 | 50 | 49 |
| Liberal Democrats | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| Other | 5 | 6 | 5 |
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| Labour lead over Conservatives | +22 | +22 | +18 |
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| Would not vote | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| Undecided | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Refused | 4 | 3 | 3 |
As you may know, the Labour Party has had a large lead in the opinion polls throughout the Election campaign.
Q17-19 Does this make you more likely to vote Conservative/Labour/Liberal Democrats, less likely to vote Conservative/Labour/Liberal Democrat or does it make no difference to you?
| More likely | Less likely | No difference | Don't know | |
| % | % | % | % | |
| Conservatives | 9 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
| Labour | 8 | 12 | 79 | 1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 11 | 6 | 82 | 1 |
Q20 If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should be part of a single European currency, how would you vote?
| % | |
| In favour of a single currency | 29 |
| Against single currency | 60 |
| Don't know/would not vote | 11 |
| Base: all expressing an opinion (893) | % |
| In favour of a single currency | 33 |
| Against single currency | 67 |
Q21 Which party did you vote for at the last General Election, in May 1997? If you are not sure, or did not vote, please say so.
| Labour | |
| Conservative | |
| Liberal Democrats | |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | |
| Green Party | |
| Other | |
|
|
|
| Did not vote | |
| Too young | |
| Can't remember | |
| Refused | |
Q22 As far as you know, are you currently registered to vote? IF YES And are you registered to vote in this constituency, or are you registered to vote somewhere else?
| % | |
| Yes, registered to vote in this constituency | 96 |
| Yes, registered to vote somewhere else | 2 |
| No, not registered to vote | 2 |
| Don't know | 0 |
Q23 Have you applied for a postal or proxy vote for the General Election, or do you intend to do so?
| % | |
| Yes, have applied for postal | 6 |
| Yes, have applied for proxy | 4 |
| No, neither | 90 |
| Don't know | 0 |
Q24 Which one of these best describes the area where you live most of the time?
| % | |
| In the middle of a city or town | 28 |
| In a suburb | 31 |
| On the edge of the countryside | 25 |
| In the middle of the countryside | 16 |
| Urban | 59 |
| Rural | 41 |