Times Election Poll 1992, Week 5

MORI's final poll before the 1992 general election

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,731 adults aged 18+ at 164 constituency sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face, in street, on 7-8 April 1992, and the results published in The Times on 9 April 1992. Data were weighted to match the profile of the population.

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on Thursday? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

  All Certain to vote†
  % %
Conservative 37 38
Labour 39 39
Liberal Democrats 22 20
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2 2
Green Party * *
Other * *
(Excludes 10% would not vote, undecided or refused)
† The headline "prediction" published in The Times was based on those saying they were certain to vote

Q3 From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote on Thursday?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Certain not to vote 3 * 1 1
Not very likely to vote 2 1 1 1
Quite likely to vote 5 4 5 7
Very likely to vote 8 6 6 11
Certain to vote 82 89 87 80
Don't know 1 * * *

Q4 Have you definitely decided to vote for the ... party or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote? Base: All naming a party at Q1/Q2 (1,552)

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Definitely decided 81 86 85 68
May change mind 16 12 13 29
Don't know 3 2 3 3

Q5 If you do change your mind about voting for the ... party, which party would you vote for instead? Base: All who say they might change their minds (246)

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Conservative 20 0 22 36
Labour 22 14 1 45
Liberal Democrat 35 59 56 0
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 1 0 0 1
Green Party 5 5 6 5
Other 2 0 1 2
None of these 2 3 1 1
Don't know 13 19 13 9

Q6 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Major, Mr Kinnock or Mr Ashdown?

  %
Major 38
Kinnock 29
Ashdown 21
Don't know 12

Q7 In the event of a hung parliament, where no party has an overall majority, which of these alternatives would you prefer to see the Liberal Democrat MPs do?

  %
Vote with the Conservative Party to keep them in government 36
Vote with the Labour Party to put them into government 38
Abstain from voting 18
No opinion/don't know 8

Q8 In principle, would you prefer a minority government in which no single party has a majority of seats in the House of Commons, even if this means an early general election, or would you prefer to see a coalition government?

  %
Minority government 39
Coalition government 45
Don't know 15

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