Reuters/Ipsos Survey: 2020 Democratic Primary Tracker (02/19/2020)
Washington, DC, February 19, 2020 — The latest Reuters/Ipsos Democratic Primary Tracker shows Senator Bernie Sanders is continuing to gain support for the Democratic presidential nomination following strong finishes in the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, up 7 points from last week among Democratic registered voters to 28% of the vote share. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg is also steadily gaining support among Democratic registered voters despite not being on the ballot in the first four early primary states. Bloomberg is up 2 points from last week to 17% of the vote share. Former Vice President Joe Biden is down 6 points from last week to 15%, while Former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg rounds out the top four with 12% support. Senator Elizabeth Warren has fallen to 5th place, with 9% support among Democratic registered voters.
Sanders and Bloomberg continue to gain ground on perceptions of electability. Twenty-seven percent of Democratic registered voters say that Sanders is the candidate most likely to beat Trump in the general election, up 2 points from last week, and up 9 points prior to the Iowa caucuses. One-fifth of Democratic registered voters say that Bloomberg (20%) is the most likely candidate to beat Trump in November, this is up 4 points from last week. Seventeen percent of Democratic registered voters see Biden as the most likely candidate to beat Trump, down 9 points from last week, and down 20 points since January.
Read the full Reuters' story here.
About the Study
These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between February 14-17, 2020 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,115 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 947 registered voters, 429 Democratic registered voters, 404 Republican registered voters, and 94 independent registered voters. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval ± 3.6 percentage points for registered voters, ± 5.4 percentage points for Democratic registered voters, ± 5.6 percentage points for Republican registered voters, and ± 11.5 percentage points for independent registered voters.
For more information on this news release, please contact:
Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 420-2025
[email protected]
Kate Silverstein
Media Relations, US
Public Affairs
+1 718 755-8829
[email protected]
About Ipsos
Ipsos is the world’s third largest market research company, present in 90 markets and employing more than 18,000 people.Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. We serve more than 5000 clients across the world with 75 business solutions.
Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Paris since July 1st, 1999. The company is part of the SBF 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD).
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