Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (09/12/2018)

Among likely voters, Democrats have an 8-point advantage over Republicans if the election for Congress were held today.

Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (09/12/2018)

The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Ipsos Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Ipsos Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Ipsos Public Affairs
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Washington, D.C. – With less than two months until the elections in November, Reuters/Ipsos is excited to begin reporting perceptions among Americans who are considered likely voters in this year’s election. Likely voters report that they are more likely to vote for a Democrat (49%) than a Republican (41%) if the election for Congress were held today – giving Democrats an 8-point advantage over Republicans this week. Similar sentiments are seen among the general public, with 40% reporting they would vote for a Democrat, compared to the 31% who would vote for a Republican. Likely voters (53%) are more likely to say they approve of the way their individual representative is performing in Congress, compared to the rest of the public, where just 44% approve.

Just 43% of likely voters report they approve of President Trump’s job performance – this perception is in line with the rest of the American public (40%). When it comes to specific issues, all Americans (18%) and likely voters (20%) believe that healthcare is the most important issue facing the nation. However, just 39% of all Americans and 43% of likely voters approve of Trump's handling of healthcare reform. Americans are most likely to report approving of Trump’s handling of employment (50%) and the economy (49%), but he receives lower marks on international trade (41%). Americans are least likely to approve of his handling of corruption (35%), the environment (35%), and Russia (36%).

Likely voters are slightly more optimistic about the direction of the country, with 39% reporting they believe we are headed in the right direction, compared to just 33% of all Americans. Republicans are significantly more satisfied with the direction of the country, with three quarters (72%) reporting they feel like America is headed on the right path, compared to just 12% of Democrats.

About this Study

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters between September 11, 2018. For the survey, a sample of 2,250 Americans, including 1,226 likely voters, 574 likely voter Democrats, 520 likely voter Republicans, and 108 likely voter Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points for all adults, 3.2 percentage points for likely voters, 4.7 percentage points for likely voter Democrats, 4.9 percentage points for likely voter Republicans, and 10.8 percentage points for likely voter Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online non-probability polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry.

With offices in 89 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,780.5 million in 2017.

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The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Ipsos Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Ipsos Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Ipsos Public Affairs

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