Washington, D.C. - Following accusations against Judge Brett Kavanaugh of sexual assault, Ipsos conducted a poll by on behalf of Thomson Reuters that shows Americans are split on Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court. Nearly half of likely voters (47%) oppose his nomination and the same number (47%) of likely voters report they believe the allegations of sexual misconduct against Kavanaugh. One third of likely voters (35%) report they do not believe the allegations, and 18% say they do not know what they believe.
Perceptions concerning Brett Kavanaugh are tied largely to partisanship, with 78% of Democrat likely voters reporting they oppose his nomination, compared to 81% of Republican likely voters who support it. There is a similar partisan divide among those who believe the allegations – 73% of Democrat likely voters believe the allegations compared to just 13% of Republican likely voters. Republican likely voters also report they view Kavanaugh favorably (83%), while less than one in five Democrat likely voters feel the same way (19%).
About this Study
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters between September 26-30, 2018. For the survey, a sample of 2,478 Americans, including 1,352 likely voters, 618 likely voter Democrats, 517 likely voter Republicans, and 177 likely voter Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.2 percentage points for all adults, 3.0 percentage points for likely voters, 4.5 percentage points for likely voter Democrats, 4.9 percentage points for likely voter Republicans, and 8.4 percentage points for likely voter Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online non-probability polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.
For more information on this news release please contact:
Vice President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
About Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.
Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.
Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry.
With offices in 89 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management.
Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,780.5 million in 2017.