Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (10/24/2018)

In this week's generic congressional ballot, Democrats have a seven-point lead over Republicans among likely voters.

The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, D.C. – With just two weeks until the midterm elections, Democrats are still the frontrunners in our Reuters/Ipsos generic congressional ballot. Among likely voters, Democrats (49%) enjoy a seven-point lead over Republicans (42%) when asked who they would vote for if the election for congress were held today. Two in five (40%) Americans would vote for the Democratic candidate if the elections for congress were held today - an eight-point lead over the Republican candidate (32%).

President Trump’s approval rate currently stands at 41% among all Americans, and 46% among likely voters. When it comes to specific issues, Americans are the most satisfied with Trump’s handling of employment and jobs (50%), the economy (48%), and dealing with ISIS/ISIL (46%).

Americans think that healthcare (20%) is the most important problem facing the U.S. today, followed by immigration (15%), and the economy (11%). Likely voters have similar opinions as Americans as a whole, with healthcare (22%), immigration (17%) and the economy (11%) rounding out the top three main issues.

When asked about the direction of the country, 35% of Americans say that the country is heading in the right direction while about half (52%) say it is off on the wrong track. Democrat likely voters have a bleaker view of the country compared to Republican likely voters; only 12% of Democrat likely voters say the country is heading in the right direction, while 80% of Republican likely voters agree. 

About this Study

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters between October 17-23, 2018. For the survey, a sample of 3,867 Americans, including 2,2062 likely voters, 924 likely voter Democrats, 844 likely voter Republicans, and 231 likely voter Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all adults, 2.5 percentage points for likely voters, 3.7 percentage points for likely voter Democrats, 3.8 percentage points for likely voter Republicans, and 7.4 percentage points for likely voter Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online non-probability polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry.

With offices in 89 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,780.5 million in 2017.

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The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs

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