Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: General Election Tracker (10/07/2020)

Biden continues to outperform Trump; Trump's approval rating is flat

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Director, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, DC,  October 7, 2020 –   The latest survey from Reuters/Ipsos shows Democratic presidential nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden gaining ground against President Donald Trump in the race for the presidency among likely voters. President Trump’s approval rating remains steady but low. About six in ten Americans are concerned that the country is heading in the wrong direction. The economy, jobs, healthcare, and coronavirus continue to be top of mind issues for many Americans when asked about the most important problems facing the nation.

A majority of likely voters say they would vote for Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden (52%), while 40% of likely voters say they would vote for President Donald Trump

  • Following a tumultuous debate and Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis, Biden’s advantage has increased from nine percentage points last week to 12 percentage points this week.
  • About one in ten likely voters report they will vote for another candidate (4%), or they are still unsure of whom to vote for (4%).

GE

President Trump’s approval rating remains stable at 41% this week, statistically unchanged for the last several months.

  • Republican registered voters overwhelmingly approve of how Trump is handling his job (83%), with 58% reporting they strongly approve.
  • Democratic registered voters remain extremely critical of the president’s job performance, with 79% strongly disapproving. About nine in ten Democratic registered voters disapprove of how he is handling his job overall (91%).

RTWD

A majority of Americans (63%) are concerned about the direction of the country, while just 24% say the country is heading in the right direction.

  • Democratic registered voters are deeply concerned, with just eight percent saying the country is heading in the right direction. Republican registered voters are more optimistic, with 52% reporting the country is heading in the right direction, but this is still about a 20 percentage point drop from earlier this year before the coronavirus pandemic began in the United States.

RTWT

 

Americans remain split on what is the most important problem facing the country. About a quarter report that the economy and jobs are the most significant issues (26%), followed by 20% who say healthcare is the biggest problem. About 16% of Americans have volunteered other problems, like coronavirus and the current administration as their biggest concerns.

  • Republican registered voters are more likely to say that the economy and jobs (29%) are the most important problems, followed by 15% who volunteer other issues, and 14% who say healthcare is the main problem.
  • In contrast, Democratic registered voters say healthcare is the most important problem (29%), followed by the economy and jobs (23%) and other problems (21%).

approval

 

About the Study

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between October 2-6, 2020 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,328 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 1,123 registered voters, 502 Democratic registered voters, 462 Republican registered voters, 120 independent registered voters and 882 likely voters. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval of ± 3.3 percentage points for all registered voters, ± 5.0 percentage points for Democratic registered voters, ± 5.2 percentage points for Republican registered voters, ± 10.2 percentage points for independent registered voters, and ± 3.8 percentage points for likely voters. 

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Chris Jackson
Senior Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 420-2025
chris[email protected]

Kate Silverstein
Media Relations, US
Public Affairs
+1 718 755-8829
[email protected]

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The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Director, US, Public Affairs

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