Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: General Election Tracker (10/28/2020)

Biden leads Trump in the race for the White House

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Director, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, DC,  October 28, 2020 –   With less than a week to go before the election, Reuters/Ipsos will be releasing one more Core Political survey on Monday, November 2nd, just ahead of Election Day. The latest Core Political survey finds that Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden remains ahead of President Donald Trump among likely voters. President Trump maintains his stable approval ratings, something that has held steady for most of his tenure. Americans remain concerned about which direction the country is heading. In addition to many Americans volunteering coronavirus, healthcare and the economy are the most important problems facing the country today.

Between the two candidates, a majority of likely voters continue to favor Biden (52%) when considering the election for president. Forty-two percent of likely voters say they will or have already voted for Trump.

  • With over 70 million votes already cast and just six days until Election Day, two percent of likely voters say they are unsure of whom they support.


Two in five Americans approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as president (40%). Just 37% of Americans approve of how he has handled the response to the coronavirus pandemic.

  • Seven percent of Democratic registered voters approve of how Trump is handling his job as president. Republican registered voters, on the other hand, overwhelmingly support how he is managing the presidency (88%).


Sixty-three percent of Americans say the country is heading off on the wrong track, while just 25% say the country is heading in the right direction.

  • Perceptions are heavily impacted by partisanship. Republican registered voters (56%) are much more likely than Democratic registered voters (5%) to say the country is heading in the right direction.



Identifying the main issues facing the nation divides Americans.

  • A quarter of Americans say the economy and jobs are the biggest problems for the country, while another 22% say it is healthcare. Fifteen percent continue to volunteer other issues like coronavirus, partisanship, and the Trump administration as major problems facing the country.
  • For Democratic registered voters, healthcare is the most important issue (33%), while just 13% of Republican registered voters say the same thing.
  • The economy and jobs are the biggest concerns for a plurality of Republican registered voters (32%), while just 22% of Democratic registered voters feel the same way.



About the Study

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between October 23-27, 2020 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,302 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 1,110 registered voters, 509 Democratic registered voters, 447 Republican registered voters, 127 independent registered voters and 825 likely voters. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval of ± 3.4 percentage points for all registered voters, ± 5.0 percentage points for Democratic registered voters, ± 5.3 percentage points for Republican registered voters, ± 9.9 percentage points for independent registered voters, and ± 3.9 percentage points for likely voters. 

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Chris Jackson
Senior Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 420-2025
[email protected]

Kate Silverstein
Media Relations, US
Public Affairs
+1 718 755-8829
[email protected]

About Ipsos

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The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Director, US, Public Affairs