2016 US Elections - Clinton and Trump Have Both Seen Their Favorability Ratings Improve (November 3)

With less than a week to go, the general election matchup has remained stable – despite last Friday’s final October surprise. Clinton and Trump have both seen their favorability ratings improve as partisans are coming home for the big day while undecided voters continue to decline as a share of the electorate.

General Election Trends

Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump among likely voters with a current lead of 6 percentage points. Clinton rose to 45% and Trump’s numbers have ticked up slightly to 39% as undecided or third party voters drift towards the major candidates.

  • Fewer than one-in-six likely voters continue to support alternatives to the major two candidates with many saying they will vote third party (7%), would not vote (3%) or don’t know (5%).
  • Clinton’s lead increases amongst likely voters on the 4-way ballot to a larger 8 percentage point margin, which includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein (Clinton 45%; Trump 37%; Johnson 5%; and Stein 2%).

 

Clinton’s favorability went up slightly to 51% amongst registered voters.

 

Trump’s favorability scores saw an uptick over the past week with his score now at 45%.

 

Other Trends

The general economy moves back into the top slot as the most serious problem facing the United States, with about one-fifth of Americans citing each as a top threat. Terrorism is only cited by 15% as the most serious problem.

 

President Barack Obama’s approval rating among all Americans went up over the last week to 51%.

 

In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats still lead with 42% of likely voters saying that they’ll vote for a Democratic candidate vs 41% saying that they’ll vote for a Republican candidate.

 

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 29- November 2, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 2,708 Americans, ages 18+ were interviewed online. 

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson
    Senior Vice President, Public Affairs, US
  • Clifford Young
    President, Public Affairs, USA
  • Julia Clark
    Marketing & Communications Director, NA

Related news