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2016 US Elections - Clinton Still Leads After the Democratic Convention (August 4)

A week after the Democratic National Convention – with a good amount of drama in the interim days – finds Clinton leading Trump by four points among Likely Voters, a one-point drop from last week. We’re likely to see Clinton’s “convention bump” recede a bit in the coming days, although the internal wrangling going on within the Republican Party could mean her bump sustains longer than normal.

GENERAL ELECTION MATCHUP

Among Likely Voters, Clinton leads Trump at 43% to 39%; among Registered Voters, Clinton leads Trump by 8 points (44% vs 36%).

 

In the 4-way ballot including Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein, the overall picture is relatively similar to the 2-way ballot: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 4 points (42% vs 38%) among likely voters.

 

Looking at candidate favorability, Clinton and Trump’s favorability were tied last Friday. Since then, Clinton’s favorability has increased by 7 points compared to a 1-point increase for Trump; Clinton’s ratings are now tied at 50%, and Trump is at 44% favorable and 56% unfavorable.

 

OTHER TRENDS

Public concern about terrorism remains at the top of the list of problems facing America (25%), followed by concern about the economy at 18%.

 

President Barack’s Obama approval rating is back up with approval and disapproval scores tied at 48%.

 

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters July 25-29, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 2,157 Americans ages 18+ were interviewed online.

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The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson
    Senior Vice President, Public Affairs, US
  • Clifford Young
    President, Public Affairs, USA

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