2016 US Elections - Heading Into The Debate Hillary Clinton Pulled Ahead Of Donald Trump (September 28)

It looks like Hillary Clinton recovered from her pneumonia and Donald Trump caught the sniffles just in time for the first debate. In our pre-debate polling, Clinton held a lead over Trump. We’ll know later today if that lead has changed with our post- debate release.

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Public Affairs, US
  • Clifford Young Country Service Line Leader, Public Affairs, US
  • Julia Clark Marketing & Communications Director, NA
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General Election Trends

Heading into the debate Hillary Clinton pulled ahead of Donald Trump. Among likely voters, Hillary Clinton is ahead by 6-percenatage points at 44% to Donald Trump at 38%. She is up 5 points from last week, while Donald Trump is down one point.

  • Going into the debate there is no change in the number of likely voters that say they plan to vote for someone else or not at all, which holds steady at about 20%.
  • Clinton’s lead shrinks slightly amongst likely voters on the 4-way ballot, which includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein (Clinton 42%; Trump 38%; Johnson 7%; and Stein 2%).

 

Clinton’s favorability rose in the last week to 49% amongst registered voters, while Trump’s favorability score has increased by 1-percantage point to 43%.

 

Other Trends

Terrorism once again tops the list for potential concerns for the United States, with one-fifth of Americans citing terrorism as a top threat. Among Republicans, that number rises to over a quarter (26%).

 

President Barack Obama’s approval rating among all Americans stands at 46%.

 

In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats have picked up more steam with 42% of likely voters saying that they’ll vote for a Democratic candidate vs 36% saying that they’ll vote for a Republican candidate.

 

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters September 22- 26, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,705 Americans ages 18+ were interviewed online. 

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Public Affairs, US
  • Clifford Young Country Service Line Leader, Public Affairs, US
  • Julia Clark Marketing & Communications Director, NA

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