2016 US Elections - Hillary Clinton Has Improved Her Favourability (October 5)

Hillary Clinton has had a good run in polling since the 1st debate. She has solidified her lead and improved her favourability ratings. Trump, on the other hand, has had a rough go lately. However, the adverse news cycles have not significantly depressed his favorability ratings or vote share relative to just before the 1st debate.

General Election Trends

Hillary Clinton continues to pull ahead of Donald Trump. Among likely voters, the margin has increased by a point with Clinton up 7 percentage points at 44% to Trump at 37%.

  • A significant number of likely voters continue to support alternatives to the major two candidates with 18% saying they will vote third party (9%), would not vote (3%) or don’t know (6%).
  • Clinton also leads amongst likely voters on the 4-way ballot, which includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein (Clinton 42%; Trump 36%; Johnson 8%; and Stein 2%).

 

Clinton’s favourability score improved in the last week to 50% amongst registered voters, while Trump’s favourability score has also increased by 1-percentage point to 44%.

 

Other Trends

The general economy is once again the main problem facing America today, with one-fifth of Americans citing the economy as a top threat.

 

President Barack Obama’s approval rating among all Americans rose 5- percentage points in the last week and stands at 51%.

 

In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats once again have 42% of likely voters saying that they’ll vote for a Democratic candidate vs 38% saying that they’ll vote for a Republican candidate.

 

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters September 29- October 3, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,928 Americans ages 18+ were interviewed online.

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson
    Senior Vice President, Public Affairs, US
  • Clifford Young
    President, Public Affairs, USA
  • Julia Clark
    Marketing & Communications Director, NA

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