The results are based on a sample of 1,509 registered voters, aged 18+, with interviews conducted online between 12 – 13 April, 2017.
22% (-2 points each vs the previous wave conducted on 7-9 April, 2017) of likely voters say they support the National Front Party candidate or Emmanuel Macron, followed by Jean-Luc Mélenchon (20%, +1,5 point). François Fillon trails with 19% (+1 point) of likely voters.
Intention to vote
Nearly two in three (66%) of the French people report that they intend to vote in the first round of the election, when turnout is traditionally highest.
Uncertainty remains high: 34% (- 6 points) of likely voters report that they could still change their mind about who to vote for. This is most likely for supporters of Hamon (43% not definite) Macron (32% not definite) and Mélenchon (34% not definite). In contrast, Fillon’s and Le Pen’s supporters are more confident in their choices with just 20% and 15% respectively reporting that their choice isn’t definite.
With these results, the second-round vote would see Macron opposing Le Pen, Macron opposing Fillon, Fillon opposing Le Pen, Mélenchon opposing Macron, Mélenchon opposing Le Pen and Mélenchon opposing Fillon. For more information, download the following report.
South African Grant Recipients in the Spotlight
In the latest Pulse of the People™ study in South Africa we examined attitudes and opinions of country direction, delivery of government services and opinions of leadership among those who are receiving social grants from the government and those who are not.
2017 French Election: The Lead Narrows for the Two Front Runners (April 19)
With only 4 days until the French Presidential election, Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron lead the field in the latest Ipsos/Sopra Steria poll conducted on behalf of CEVIPOF and Le Monde. The results are based on a sample of 11,601 registered voters, aged 18+, with interviews conducted online between 16 – 17 April, 2017.