Seven in ten back same-sex marriage legislation - Fairfax Ipsos Poll
Key findings
- Two-thirds (65%) are ‘certain to vote’ in the postal vote on same-sex marriage.
- 70% of those ‘certain to vote’ will vote in favour of legislation for same-sex marriage.
Same-sex marriage plebiscite
Only two-thirds (65%) of the public say they are ‘certain to vote’ in the forthcoming postal vote on same sex marriage. Turnout looks to be higher among women than men, with 72% of women saying they are ‘certain to vote’ compared to 59% among men. Those on middle ($40k-$100k per annum) and higher household incomes ($100k+ per annum) are also more likely to describe themselves as ‘certain to vote’ than lower income households (Under $40k per annum); 70%, 72% and 53% ‘certain to vote’ respectively. Interestingly, likely turnout is consistently high across all age groups.
Seven in ten (70%) of those certain to vote say they will be voting in favour of legislation on same-sex marriage; a quarter (26%) will vote against the legislation. While Coalition voters are split on the issue (with 52% voting in favour and 42% against), the overwhelming majority of Labor (86%) and Green (94%) voters will back the legislation.
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QSEP6. Will you be voting in favour or against the legislation on marriage between same-sex couples? Base: All certain to vote
|
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|
(%) |
All |
Coalition voters |
Labor voters |
Green voters |
|
In favour |
70 |
52 |
86 |
94 |
|
Against |
26 |
42 |
10 |
2 |
|
Don’t know/Not yet decided |
4 |
7 |
3 |
4 |
|
Net in favour |
+44 |
+10 |
+76 |
+92 |
While the proportion voting in favour of legislation on marriage between same-sex couples declines with age, the balance of opinion is in favour of legislation among all ages, with those aged 55+ more evenly divided on the issue
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QSEP6. Will you be voting in favour or against the legislation on marriage between same-sex couples? Base: All certain to vote
|
|||||
|
(%) |
All |
Aged 18-24 |
Aged 25-39 |
Aged 40-54 |
Aged 55+ |
|
In favour |
70 |
85 |
79 |
74 |
54 |
|
Against |
26 |
12 |
16 |
22 |
40 |
|
Don’t know/Not yet decided |
4 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
|
Net in favour |
+44 |
+73 |
+63 |
+52 |
+14 |
Questions
Q.SEP5 How likely are you to vote in the upcoming postal plebiscite on the legalisation of same-sex marriage, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means absolutely certain to vote and 1 means that you are absolutely certain not to vote?
Q.SEP6 Will you be voting in favour or against the legalisation of marriage between same-sex couples?
