The latest wave of the Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows falling satisfaction with Boris Johnson and his government. 38% are satisfied with the job Boris Johnson is doing as Prime Minister (down 6 points from June) and 54% are dissatisfied (up 7 points). Mr Johnson’s net satisfaction score has fallen to -16 from -3 in June, the lowest net satisfaction score the Prime Minister has registered since last October. Similarly, 35% are satisfied with how the government is running the country (down 9 points since June) and 55% are dissatisfied (up 7 points). The government’s net satisfaction rating with the public of -20 has fallen from -4 in June and is also the lowest the government has registered since last October. However, support for the Prime Minister and his government from their own side remains high, with satisfaction ratings of 79% and 70% respectively among Conservatives.
Falling satisfaction with Johnson and his government overall is coupled with the government’s ratings for handling coronavirus falling. 41% of Britons think the government is handling the pandemic well (down 3 points from June) and 43% say badly (+5 points). This means the government’s net satisfaction rating on this measure has fallen from +6 to -2 since June. Meanwhile, economic optimism has fallen somewhat too. 47% think the economy will improve in the next 12 months (down 6 points from June) and 36% think it will worsen. This means net economic optimism falls to +11 this month compared with +22 in June. However, it is still net positive. It was last negative in February.
However, despite falling satisfaction with Johnson and his government, the Conservatives retain a 9-point lead over Labour in terms of voting intention. The Conservatives are on 40% (down 4 points from June) and Labour are on 31% (also down 4 points). In contrast, the Lib Dems rise to 13% (up 7 points from June), the highest voting intention score achieved with Ipsos MORI since the 2019 General Election.
Ipsos MORI Director of Politics Keiran Pedley said:
It will concern Johnson and his government that current public satisfaction scores are the lowest they have been since last October, although the Conservatives will be happy that they are still comfortably ahead of Labour in terms of voter preference. However, it is less clear where we will be come party conference season. We should expect what happens when final Covid restrictions are eased, and how that is managed this summer, to play a significant role in where public opinion stands this autumn.