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Labour's Re-Election Prospects / Impressions Of Blair, Brown, Prescott And Cameron

Voting intention, opinions on the Labour government, how leaders affect their parties, how they are in touch with what people think

Topline Results

  • Ipsos interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,975 adults aged 18+ at 195 sampling points across Great Britain.
  • Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 8-12 June 2006.
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population

Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,139)

160 %
Conservative 41
Labour 34
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 18
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 2
UK Independence Party 2
Other 2
160
Lab lead (177%) -7
160
Would not vote *
Undecided 10
Refused 3

Voting -- all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (1,975)

160 %
Conservative 35
Labour 36
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 19
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2
Green Party 2
UK Independence Party 2
Other 3
160
Lab lead (177%) -1
160
Would not vote 13
Undecided 11
Refused 2

Q3 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 1,975 British adults 18+

160 %
10 -- absolutely certain to vote 56
9 6
8 6
7 4
6 3
5 6
4 1
3 1
2 2
1 -- absolutely certain not to vote 12
Don't know 1
Refused 0

Q4 Which of these options best represent your view about the Labour Government? Base: 535 British adults 18+ who would vote or support Labour

160 %
I think the Labour Government should be returned to office at the next general election, as they have a clear vision for the future of the country 64
I think by the time of the next general election the Labour Government should not be returned to office, so that they can have a period out of office to rethink what they stand for and what their vision is for the future of the country 23
Don't know 13

Q5-8 I am going to read out a list of politicians. For each one you know would you say they are a strength or a weakness to their party? Base: 966 British adults 18+

160 25-28 Apr 1997 30 Apr-1 May 2001 8-12 June 2006
160 % % %
5) Gordon Brown
Strength 46 63 53
Weakness 10 18 27
Not heard of 22 10 1
No opinion / don't know 22 9 19
Net strength +36 +45 +26
6) Tony Blair
Strength 73 66 33
Weakness 13 24 54
Not heard of 1 3 *
No opinion / don't know 13 7 13
Net strength +60 +42 -21
7) John Prescott
Strength 51 36 10
Weakness 15 44 74
Not heard of 10 10 1
No opinion / don't know 24 10 15
Net strength +36 -8 -64
8) David Cameron (John Major) (William Hague) (David Cameron)
Strength 50 23 48
Weakness 37 64 17
Not heard of 1 5 4
No opinion / don't know 12 8 31
Net strength +13 -41 +31

Q9-11 Do you think that ... is or is not in touch with what ordinary people think? Base: 966 British adults 18+

... the Chancellor, Gordon Brown
Is in touch 37
Is not in touch 45
Don't know 17
Net in touch -8
160 21-22 Sept 2000 13-14 Oct 2000 19-24 Apr 2001* 30-31 Mar 2001* 8-12 June 2006
160 % % % % %
... the Prime Minister, Tony Blair
Is in touch 23 35 47 43 27
Is not in touch 72 60 47 51 62
Don't know 5 5 6 6 10
Net in touch -49 -25 0 -8 -35
... the leader of the Conservative Party, David Cameron
160 (Hague) (Hague) (Hague) (Hague) (Cameron)
Is in touch 32 37 36 30 41
Is not in touch 59 55 54 58 31
Don't know 10 9 10 12 28
Net in touch -27 -18 -18 -28 +10

* Telephone survey

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