There has been hardly any churn between Labour and the Conservatives voters since the election. Just one percent of 2010 Labour voters would now be certain of voting Conservative and three percent of 2010 Tory voters certain to vote Labour in an immediate general election.
|Reported 2010 vote|
|Conservative (n=1,126) %||Labour (n=1,049) %||Liberal Democrat (n=738) %|
|Certain to vote and would now vote...|
|... Liberal Democrat||2||1||27|
|... some other party||3||2||6|
|... undecided/would not vote/refused||2||3||6|
|Not certain to vote||31||31||35|
(Note that this analysis differs from the way in which voting intention results are usually presented, as those who are unlikely to vote or have not expressed a voting intention are not excluded from the percentages.)
- A new book, Explaining Cameron's Coalition, written by Sir Robert Worcester, Dr. Roger Mortimore, Dr. Paul Baines and Mark Gill will be launched on 11 May and is now available for pre-order.
Ipsos interviewed 4,164 GB adults aged 18+ by telephone in four monthly Reuters/Ipsos Political Monitor surveys between January and April 2011. Of these, 1,126 said that they voted Conservative, 1,049 Labour and 738 Liberal Democrat at the 2010 general election. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.