London Mayor Poll for UNISON - 1-7 April 2008

Ipsos's poll on the London Mayoral election, carried out 1-7 April 2008 for the trade union UNISON, shows the first preference results are 41% for Ken Livingstone, 40% for Boris Johnson, 14% for Brian Paddick, and 5% for Sian Berry among those saying they are "certain to vote" (48%).

Among all expressing a voting preference (85%) the results are 45% for Ken Livingstone, 38% for Boris Johnson, 11% for Brian Paddick, and 5% Sian Berry.

When second preference votes are counted for those "certain to vote", Ken Livingstone's lead is 2 points: 51% to 49% (excludes votes not transferred). Among those expressing a voting preference (85%) Ken Livingstone leads Boris Johnson by 8 points: 54% to 46%.

Topline Results

• Ipsos interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,000 adults in London aged 18+. Interviews were conducted by telephone between 1st and 7th April 2008;
• Data are weighted to match the profile of the London population by gender, age, working status, region, ethnic group, housing tenure and social class;
• Where results do not sum to 100, this is due to computer rounding or multiple responses or the exclusion of don't knows or non-responses;
• An asterisk (*) indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero;
• Base: All unless otherwise stated figures are based on 1,000 respondents.
• Download the data tabulations pdf, 80KB

London Mayoral Election Voting -- Combined Figures (Certain to Vote)

Q1/2/3/4 Combined Mayoral Election Voting Figures

Base: All 18+ Londoners absolutely certain to vote (420)

Livingstone and Johnson percentages based on 1st votes and transferred 2nd votes, excludes votes not transferred.

London Mayoral Election Voting -- First Choice (Certain to Vote)

Q1 In the next election for Mayor of London, the present Mayor, Ken Livingstone is standing for re-election as the Labour Party candidate. Boris Johnson is standing for the Conservatives, and Brian Paddick is standing for the Liberal Democrats, Sian Berry is standing for the Green Party, and there will be other candidates too.

In the election for Mayor, voters will have two votes, one for their first choice as Mayor and one for their second choice.

If the election were held tomorrow, which candidate would be your first choice?

IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1

Which candidate are you most inclined to support?

Base: All absolutely certain to vote, 18+ Londoners (495)

London Mayoral Election Voting -- Second Choice (Certain to Vote

Q3 And who would be your second choice?

IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q3

Q4 Which candidate are you most inclined to support?

Base: All absolutely certain to vote, 18+ Londoners (495)

London Mayoral Election Voting -- Combined Figures (All expressing a voting preference)

Q1/2/3/4 Combined Mayoral Election Voting Figures

Base: All 18+ Londoners (789)

Livingstone and Johnson percentages based on 1st votes and transferred 2nd votes, excludes votes not transferred.

London Mayoral Election Voting -- First Choice (All)

Q1 In the next election for Mayor of London, the present Mayor, Ken Livingstone is standing for re-election as the Labour Party candidate. Boris Johnson is standing for the Conservatives, and Brian Paddick is standing for the Liberal Democrats, Sian Berry is standing for the Green Party, and there will be other candidates too.

In the election for Mayor, voters will have two votes, one for their first choice as Mayor and one for their second choice.

If the election were held tomorrow, which candidate would be your first choice?

IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1

Q2 Which candidate are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 18+ Londoners (1000)

London Mayoral Election Voting -- Second Choice (All)

Q3 And who would be your second choice?

IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q3

Q4 Which candidate are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 18+ Londoners (1000)

The next elections for the Mayor of London and the London Assembly will be held on the same day -- 1st May. How likely would you be to vote in these elections, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?

Base: All 18+ Londoners (1000)